2019 NFL Playoffs

[Phillies]

Wish I saw this thread earlier. I was 4-0 on my picks this weekend and made some nice coin .

For next weekend I got:

Colts over Chiefs: Colts D is very good and Chiefs D is not. Kareem Hunt loss has been glaring. Keep Tyreek from going over the top and you win. Luck didn't have his best game this weekend, but he didn't have to. Next weekend will be his best game. ALL IN ON COLTS.

Chargers over Pats: I don't have a feel for this game right now, but I am taking Rivers/Gordon/Allen and the Chargers D to win for now. Might change my mind.

Eagles over Saints: I don't bet against Big Dick Nick, you shouldn't either.

Cowboys over Rams: Goff is a bitch.

DOGS WEEK AGAIN.

I won most of my money this weekend on Eagles, Colts, and Chargers money lines. Didn't take the Seahawks money line but I had them in every teaser. I'm feeling the teasers again this weekend. Give me points on the dogs. I think all of these games are going to be close.

Go Birds.

Saturday was not good. I underestimated the Chiefs obviously and my teasers couldn't even save me (Big F you to the guy that couldn't catch a wide open TD. Cost me hundreds). JP convinced me to pivot to the Pats which made me some money, but I lost it all on the Eagles. The Eagles should have won that game. Drive 1: 75 yards, TD. Drive 2: 76 yards, TD. After that he had like 60 yards passing. Kudos to the Saints for switching up their defensive game plan, their corners were all over the Eagles WR's, and bad on Doug for not switching up his game plan. That said, the game was there for the Eagles to win. Most people are bitching that the Eagles should've taken the 2:00 warning instead of running a play and they aren't wrong. But Alshon catches that 9.9 times out of 10. The magic ran out. (Anyone notice Alshon getting death threats? Not one? I don't believe it........... Philly fans aren't that bad, hate us for another reason. Yes we threw snow balls at a drunk POS in a Santa costume. I don't believe we've ever thrown snow balls at a football player in the middle of a game. End rant).

Moving to next weekend, fuck the Saints. They aren't that good. Rams won't allow Michael Thomas to run around freely like the Eagles did. Saints converted 3rd and long 3 times with Thomas wide open. Rams won't. Seriously, cover Michael Thomas and make Ted Ginn and company beat you. Rams offense won't shit the bed like the Eagles. Rams win by a touchdown.

Pats and Chiefs? It's easy to say Belichick > Big Red based on their past. Is this the same Andy Reid? Probably not. But it's the same Belichick. Brady/Edelman were AWESOME yesterday. And it was against a defense that is much better than the Chiefs. Michel/White were great. This game is going to be awesome. Pats win.

[Cardinals]

3-1 last weekend, rebounded from my poor Wild Card weekend and came away quite profitable (note: always bet against Playoff Phil).

I don't have a great read on the New Orleans/Los Angeles game. It feels weird that CJ Anderson could lead a team to a Super Bowl, but the Saints suffered some costly injuries last week. I tend to trust Brees and Payton more than I do Goff and McVay in this spot. I'm going Saints, but not by much. Saints 27, Rams 23.

Last week, I thought the Patriots really matched up well against the Chargers. Obviously, the Chargers installed a terrible defensive gameplan and refused to deviate from it. I don't think it'll be quite that easy at Arrowhead this weekend. The Patriots do run more 21 personnel than any other team in the league, and the Chiefs are the worst in the league at defending it. Patriots play >50% man coverage, and Mahomes is more human (still good) against man coverage compared to zone.

Since becoming a regular in Week 7 (didn't play in Week 6 vs. KC), JC Jackson has been one of the best CBs in the NFL. That will slightly help the Pats against Hill, but I'm still unsure if they'll put Gilmore on Hill, or Jackson + McCourty. In any event, I suspect this game will look like the Steelers game: the Chiefs will come out in 11 personnel and the Patriots will let them run as much as they want. They're going to try to limit the big-play ability. In the 43-40 Week 6 win, the Pats gave up 3 TDs on 3 plays, thanks in large part to poor special teams and two blown coverages on Hill.

It'll be impossible to keep Hill down all game. I suspect the Chiefs come away with a lot of rushing yards, but a bunch of field goals to go with them.
Patriots win on the road, 31-23.

[Astros]

I'm going to take the Saints mostly because I hate Stan Kroenke and the Rams haven't been the same offense since Cooper Kupp went out for the year. I don't think it is all that close. Saints 35 Rams 21.

I'm sure if we went back through the history of playoff threads on here, I've probably never picked the Patriots mostly out of hate. This week I'm picking against them, not purely out of hate. Tom Brady has went 20-3 at home in the playoffs, thanks to getting 6 games against the worst division in football every year to ensure a division title and usually a bye. When he's had to go on the road, not so much, he's 3-4. Mark Sanchez has more playoff road wins. Granted 3 of those road losses were against Peyton and there's no shame in losing to someone better than you. I really thought the Colts would beat KC last week, I thought the weather would effect them, I thought the same thing about the Chiefs everyone used to say about the Colts. The weather did nothing to slow them down. It is to the Pats advantage that they've already faced them this year so Bill will be better prepared, but if I remember correctly Brady usually fares worse against a team in the playoffs that has seen him before in the season. I think it'll be close throughout but I think homefield helps KC, Mahomes pulls off a few throws nobody else could make and KC wins. Chiefs 31-27.

[Astros]

The refs made their mark today. Saints got absolutely fucked out of a Super Bowl appearance. Patriots had some dubious calls go their way in the 2nd half. Rooting for Bane in the Super Bowl

[Royals]

[Royals]

I respect the hell out of Brees, if there was a QB anywhere I'd be okay losing to, it would be Brees. In a league chock full of hyperbole, he is consistently underrated.
Goff on the other hand simply ain't ready.
Pick against the Pats at your peril. Those of you sticking your head in the sand, get comfy, Brady swears he'll be here until he's 45, only a fucknut like Kellerman would doubt him at this point.

[Royals]

One last thing. Tony Romo might be the single best to analyst ever. The guy is fantastic. Fuck the Cowboys, but Romo rules as an analyst. I love listening to the guy talk football.

[Yankees]

I love that Bren can't return a trade offer for 87 months, but this is the first place he turns when the Patriots win.

That said, I was hoping for a Saints/Patriots or Rams/Chiefs Super Bowl. Thought either of those storylines would be fun. If it was going to be one of the other two options, this was the bronze medalist. I hate the Patriots, but goddamn if Belichick isn't an incredible coach. And anyone not thinking about giving McDaniels another shot as an HC is an idiot. And anyone thinking that McVay won't have that team ready is just wrong.

Amazing day of football.

And, yes, Romo was incredible. I don't love the moans and groans...but I'll happily stay for the insane insight & Nostradamus-esque reads of the game.

[Guardians]

I love that Bren can't return a trade offer for 87 months, but this is the first place he turns when the Patriots win.

This ^

[Astros]

I love that Bren can't return a trade offer for 87 months, but this is the first place he turns when the Patriots win.

This ^

He's got to get his league activity for the year out of the way early, then be active for 2 weeks when we talk about booting him to start the process all over. Consider it the Groundhog Day of the IBC

[Royals]

I love that Bren can't return a trade offer for 87 months, but this is the first place he turns when the Patriots win.

This ^

He's got to get his league activity for the year out of the way early, then be active for 2 weeks when we talk about booting him to start the process all over. Consider it the Groundhog Day of the IBC

Considering the pending Patriots victory, I predict an early spring for New England and a long winter for everyone else!

[Cardinals]

Patriots 34, Rams 24.

This game is close throughout, but I think Belichick will adjust well to McVay's in-game tactics. Patriots will be able to pull away late when the Rams pass rush tires.

[Mets]

Patriots 34, Rams 24.

This game is close throughout, but I think Belichick will adjust well to McVay's in-game tactics. Patriots will be able to pull away late when the Rams pass rush tires.

Same score - but opposite:

Rams 34 & Patriots 24

[Astros]

Rooting hard for Bane on Sunday

[Athletics]

What a shit game by the Rams offense that inherently rewards the Pats who couldnt do anything beyond their shitty dink and dunk offense to Edleman.

[Royals]

That was one boring game. But a W is a W for #6. McVay got flat out out-coached by Belichick. I still think McDaniels goes a little bit stupid when it come to the SB, some of those play calls were just dumb.

For all the bitching about 'dink and dunk', a dink n dunk Superbowl win beats the shit out of exciting off balance throws that land you playing golf or in the ProBowl in January. If every QB could do it, they would, but they can't because their egos prevent it. If Mahomes had accepted the underneath throws that were open two weeks ago instead of trying to win the game with every throw, he might have ended up winning. But he didn't, possibly because he couldn't.

Who's ready for #7?

[Astros]

So here's the big question, are you actually going to participate in the league this year? Or are we not going to hear from you again until you get the annual "We're thinking about booting you due to inactivity" email from JP, then you send in a roster and say nothing until next year's playoff thread?

[Cardinals]

Pats.

[Mets]

That was one boring game. But a W is a W for #6. McVay got flat out out-coached by Belichick.

I wouldn't say that was a true statement. Goff missed some open guys and mistimed the throws to others that he didn't miss. I'd put this more on Goff's inexperience than I would say McVay got flat out out-coached. A tie/one-score game does not indicate outcoaching. It just comes down to who makes the big play. The Rams simply couldn't.

[Cardinals]

That was one boring game. But a W is a W for #6. McVay got flat out out-coached by Belichick.

I wouldn't say that was a true statement. Goff missed some open guys and mistimed the throws to others that he didn't miss. I'd put this more on Goff's inexperience than I would say McVay got flat out out-coached. A tie/one-score game does not indicate outcoaching. It just comes down to who makes the big play. The Rams simply couldn't.

https://sports.yahoo.com/sean-mcvay-sup ... 36208.html


“I’m pretty numb right now,” McVay told reporters after the game. “Definitely I got outcoached. I didn’t do nearly good enough for our football team.”

[Mets]

That was one boring game. But a W is a W for #6. McVay got flat out out-coached by Belichick.

I wouldn't say that was a true statement. Goff missed some open guys and mistimed the throws to others that he didn't miss. I'd put this more on Goff's inexperience than I would say McVay got flat out out-coached. A tie/one-score game does not indicate outcoaching. It just comes down to who makes the big play. The Rams simply couldn't.

https://sports.yahoo.com/sean-mcvay-sup ... 36208.html


“I’m pretty numb right now,” McVay told reporters after the game. “Definitely I got outcoached. I didn’t do nearly good enough for our football team.”

I read the quotes on the Athletic. My first though - what a veteran move of a coach taking the emphasis off of his young players that did not perform.

[Royals]

The Defense is Phillips's, the offense is McVay's. The Ram got a whopping 3 points, and never really looked like a threat. McVay got flat out-coached.
McDaniels got out-coached too, but McVay far more-so, especially for how much he has been hyped.

[Mets]

If Cooks doesn't drop two touchdowns and the Rams win, does McVay still get outcoached?

[Royals]

If Brooks doesn't drop two touchdowns and the Rams win, does McVay still get outcoached?

Who's "Brooks"?

If, if, if...
If the Refs pull their heads out of their ass in the NFCCG, the Rams never make it to the SB. If Peters doesn't sound half the game holding, the Pats blow up the Rams. If Suh gets flagged for roughing the passer, flinging Brady around after he had thrown the ball.... If, if, if...

The Rams got shut out in the first half, made no discernible adjustments, and largely failed to even attempt to utilize their best offensive player. Out-fucking-coached.