Down on the Farm - 2025
Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2024 11:24 pm
From BP: 2025 Nationals Top 10: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/pros ... prospects/
5.Brady House
Pos: 3B
Born: 2003-06-04
B: Right
T: Right
H: 6′ 4″
W: 208 lbs.
History: Drafted 11th overall in the 2021 draft, Winder-Barrow HS (Winder, GA); signed for $5 million.
Previous Rank: #3 (org), #69 (Top 101)
Major League ETA: 2025
Year Team Level Age PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ BABIP
2022 FBG Lo-A 19 203 24 8 0 3 31 12 59 1 0 .278 .356 .375 98 .393
2023 HBG AA 20 148 19 8 2 3 12 7 42 1 1 .324 .358 .475 76 .442
2023 WIL Hi-A 20 68 11 5 0 3 13 3 13 3 0 .317 .368 .540 111 .362
2023 FBG Lo-A 20 158 22 8 1 6 22 16 34 5 1 .297 .369 .500 118 .350
2024 ROC AAA 21 236 30 10 0 6 32 7 68 1 1 .250 .280 .375 69 .329
2024 HBG AA 21 306 38 11 1 13 34 24 75 5 2 .234 .310 .423 105 .273
The Report: Brady House is a very very very fine House. There are no significant 2024 gains to report—although he’s consolidated much of those made in 2023. There are no new red flags in the profile, although the same red flags still flutter a bit in a mild breeze. Everything in the swing is a lot more leveraged and stiff than say, Seaver King, but House is strong enough to project for similarly gaudy power, and he’ll muscle some off-center-cuts into the outfield too. The chase rate remains a major issue, although that shows up more in suboptimal contact than out-and-out whiffs. House is especially vulnerable to vertically moving offspeed as he wants to yank those pitches into the air too. He tends to top them to an infielder instead. The top-end exit velocities hint at 30-home run power potential, but his stiffness and lack of high-end bat speed means he’s shooting hard line drives into the right-field bleachers more than you’d like. His ground ball rate has ticked up at the Triple-A level as well, and I do worry that’s more warning sign than sample noise. That all said, House turned a mere 21 years old during last season, and is a high-probability plus-power bat with an above-average glove at third base. He’s likely to need more than a bit of adjustment time once he lands in the nation’s capital, and he’s likely to deal with some platoon issues throughout his career…but he also hits the ball very hard. That can be a carrying skill, just look to Mark Vientos’ 2024 (and 2023 if you want a better idea of how much adjustment time this might take).
OFP: 55 / Well, he’s a much better third base defender than Vientos, but also doesn’t hit the ball nearly as hard, let’s say that comes out in the wash.
Variance: Medium. I think House is more likely to be exactly a 55 than Vientos, and there may even be more hit tool limitations given the present approach. But he’s already hit in Double-A and is likely to be a major-league factor after a couple more months of reps in the International League.
5.Brady House
Pos: 3B
Born: 2003-06-04
B: Right
T: Right
H: 6′ 4″
W: 208 lbs.
History: Drafted 11th overall in the 2021 draft, Winder-Barrow HS (Winder, GA); signed for $5 million.
Previous Rank: #3 (org), #69 (Top 101)
Major League ETA: 2025
Year Team Level Age PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ BABIP
2022 FBG Lo-A 19 203 24 8 0 3 31 12 59 1 0 .278 .356 .375 98 .393
2023 HBG AA 20 148 19 8 2 3 12 7 42 1 1 .324 .358 .475 76 .442
2023 WIL Hi-A 20 68 11 5 0 3 13 3 13 3 0 .317 .368 .540 111 .362
2023 FBG Lo-A 20 158 22 8 1 6 22 16 34 5 1 .297 .369 .500 118 .350
2024 ROC AAA 21 236 30 10 0 6 32 7 68 1 1 .250 .280 .375 69 .329
2024 HBG AA 21 306 38 11 1 13 34 24 75 5 2 .234 .310 .423 105 .273
The Report: Brady House is a very very very fine House. There are no significant 2024 gains to report—although he’s consolidated much of those made in 2023. There are no new red flags in the profile, although the same red flags still flutter a bit in a mild breeze. Everything in the swing is a lot more leveraged and stiff than say, Seaver King, but House is strong enough to project for similarly gaudy power, and he’ll muscle some off-center-cuts into the outfield too. The chase rate remains a major issue, although that shows up more in suboptimal contact than out-and-out whiffs. House is especially vulnerable to vertically moving offspeed as he wants to yank those pitches into the air too. He tends to top them to an infielder instead. The top-end exit velocities hint at 30-home run power potential, but his stiffness and lack of high-end bat speed means he’s shooting hard line drives into the right-field bleachers more than you’d like. His ground ball rate has ticked up at the Triple-A level as well, and I do worry that’s more warning sign than sample noise. That all said, House turned a mere 21 years old during last season, and is a high-probability plus-power bat with an above-average glove at third base. He’s likely to need more than a bit of adjustment time once he lands in the nation’s capital, and he’s likely to deal with some platoon issues throughout his career…but he also hits the ball very hard. That can be a carrying skill, just look to Mark Vientos’ 2024 (and 2023 if you want a better idea of how much adjustment time this might take).
OFP: 55 / Well, he’s a much better third base defender than Vientos, but also doesn’t hit the ball nearly as hard, let’s say that comes out in the wash.
Variance: Medium. I think House is more likely to be exactly a 55 than Vientos, and there may even be more hit tool limitations given the present approach. But he’s already hit in Double-A and is likely to be a major-league factor after a couple more months of reps in the International League.