Rays Prospect Notes 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:36 am
2022 Rays Prospects (with BA Scouting Report)
1. C.J. Abrams - SS - Padres BA Grade: 65/High
Track Record: Abrams long stood out as one of the best and most athletic players for his age in high school and made a big impression when he took over center field for USA Baseball’s 18U National Team and made the position look easy despite never playing it before. He followed with a sensational senior spring, and the Padres were thrilled when he fell to them at the sixth overall pick in 2019. They lured him away from an Alabama commitment with a $5.2 million signing bonus, and by the end of that first pro summer, Abrams had won the Rookie-level Arizona League’s MVP award after batting .401 and earned a promotion to Low-A Fort Wayne. That assignment, however, was halted after just two games due to a shoulder injury. Abrams spent 2020 at the Padres’ alternate training site and made his full-season debut at Double-A San Antonio in 2021, where he got off to a hot start before fracturing his left tibia and spraining his left MCL in a collision with second baseman Eguy Rosario in late June, ending his season. Abrams recovered in time to get back on the field in instructional league but bruised his left shoulder while sliding into a base, an injury that prevented him from participating in the Arizona Fall League.
Scouting Report: When he is on the field, Abrams stands out for all the right reasons. He has a flat, fluid swing and elite hand-eye coordination—thanks in large part to the various contraptions his dad devised during his youth—that allow him to hit any type of pitch no matter where it’s located. He expanded the strike zone a bit much in his first stint at San Antonio, which is not all that surprising given that he was essentially jumping from rookie ball all the way to Double-A. At his best, he has a keen eye for the zone and takes borderline pitches like a seasoned veteran. Abrams’ frame is long and lean, but he’s no slap hitter. He makes loud contact off the barrel and can drive the ball out to all fields. It’s not out of the question for him to develop 20-home run power as he matures. Abrams’ 80-grade speed allows him to regularly beat out infield singles and will make him an elite base-stealing threat once he learns pitchers’ tendencies. Defensively, Abrams has plus range at shortstop. He doesn’t always show off his above-average arm, but he has a plus internal clock and tends to save his bullets for when they’re needed. He has gotten more reliable at making the routine plays and will make the occasional highlight-reel play. While it’s easy to compare Abrams to the last shortstop to rise quickly through the Padres’ system, the similarities are few. Where Fernando Tatis Jr. seems to play with his hair on fire, Abrams is a low-motor player whose actions often appear effortless. Tatis’ presence means Abrams is likely destined for a position change. He has the athleticism and aptitude to make the transition to second base or center field when the time comes.
The Future: For all his talent, Abrams has just 348 plate appearances in three seasons and needs at-bats. If he can stay healthy, he should become a dynamic table-setter in front of Tatis and Manny Machado in the Padres’ lineup.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 70. Power: 50. Run: 80. Fielding: 60. Arm: 55.
2. Nolan Gorman - 3B/2B - Cardinals BA Grade: 60/High
Track Record: The top prep power hitter in the 2018 draft class, Gorman spent the 2019 season at the Class A levels before impressing at 2020 spring training and spending the summer at the alternate training site, where he continued to stand out offensively. He made his upper minors debut in 2021 and put together his best year as a pro. Gorman led the Cardinals organization with 231 total bases and finished third with 25 home runs as he climbed from Double-A Springfield to Triple-A Memphis, and did it while lowering his strikeout rate the higher he climbed.
Scouting Report: Gorman transitioned from third base to second base after the Cardinals acquired Nolan Arenado from the Rockies before the season. He impressed the organization with his range and actions while continuing to work on improving his footwork turning double plays. He has plus arm strength and projects to be a fringe-average, but playable, defender at the keystone. Regardless of position, it’ll be Gorman’s bat that makes him an above-average everyday player. He has plus-plus raw power and can hit a home run out of any park. He destroys pitches down in the zone and consistently posts high exit velocities. Gorman is an aggressive hitter who doesn’t walk much and is prone to chasing, but he makes enough contact to regularly access his power.
The Future: Gorman is on track to be a middle-of-the order slugger who hits 30-35 home runs per year. He is in position to make his major league debut sometime during the 2022 season.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 70. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 60.
3. Zac Veen - OF - Rockies BA Grade: 65/High
Track Record: A talented player considered on the fringe of the first round entering his senior year, Veen became the biggest riser during the shortened 2020 season after getting stronger and was drafted ninth overall by the Rockies, who gave him a $5 million signing bonus to pass up a scholarship offer from Florida. Veen impressed in instructional league after signing and followed up with a sensational pro debut at Low-A Fresno in 2021. Despite a slow start that saw him go his first 120 at-bats without a homer, Veen hit .301 with 15 home runs, 75 RBIs, 36 stolen bases and a .900 OPS for the Grizzlies, becoming one of only four players in the minors to have at least 15 home runs and 35 stolen bases. He did that while impressing defensively both in left and right field and notching eight outfield assists in only 95 games.
Scouting Report: Veen is a true five-tool player and has the potential to be a longtime anchor in the Rockies outfield. He presently has an all-pull approach and can be a bit aggressive, but he consistently drives balls hard on a line, handles all types of pitches and rakes equally against both righties and lefties in a way that is rare for a young, lefthanded hitter. Veen still has some tinkering to do to shorten his swing and use the whole field, but he’s already shown he can make adjustments and has a chance to be a plus hitter. He has plus raw power and is increasingly learning to add leverage to his swing, helping him project as a potential 30-home run threat once he fills out his athletic, projectable frame. In addition to his immense hitting potential, Veen is a dynamic, aggressive baserunner with long strides that create sneaky speed and make him a stolen base threat. Though he has just average pure foot speed, his aggressiveness makes him an above-average runner. Veen’s long strides enable him to make rangy plays to both his right and left in the outfield. He gets good reads off the bat, takes clean routes and charges in on balls well to project as a potential plus defender in the corners. His arm is his weakest tool, but it’s still average and makes him playable in both right and left field. In addition to his physical skills, Veen plays extremely hard and has an above-average internal clock for his age.
The Future: Veen will likely get an invitation to major league spring training and start the 2022 season at High-A Spokane. On the low end, Veen projects to be an everyday big leaguer who reliably puts up 15 home runs and 10 steals per year while hitting for a high average. On the high end, if he makes the necessary adjustments to his approach, he could be a 30-30 threat and a perennial all-star.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 60. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 60. Arm: 50.
4. Diego Cartaya - C - Dodgers BA Grade: 65/Very High
Track Record: Cartaya represented Venezuela at international tournaments from the time he was 10 years old and emerged early as the country’s top player in his class. He maintained that status through his teenage years and signed with the Dodgers for $2.5 million on the first day of the 2018-19 international signing period. Cartaya immediately impressed in the Rookie-level Arizona League in his pro debut and was the youngest player the Dodgers invited to their alternate training site in 2020, where he understandably struggled against older competition. A back muscle flareup delayed his full-season debut in 2021, but he reported to Low-A Rancho Cucamonga in late May and became an instant star. He hit 10 home runs in 31 games while showing uncommon poise and maturity defensively behind the plate before his season was cut short by injuries. He went on the injured list with a strained hamstring in July and re-injured his back in August while he was rehabbing. The Dodgers shut him down for the year.
Scouting Report: Though only 20 years old, Cartaya is a big, physical masher who is a force at the plate. He is an extraordinarily mature hitter who expertly manages the strike zone, recognizes pitches out of the hand and makes ear-ringing contact with controlled, powerful swings. His efficient swing and natural strength create booming, all-fields power with remarkable ease, and he stays through the big part of the field in his approach to hit towering drives from left-center to right-center. Cartaya turns around premium velocity, stays on breaking balls, covers the entire plate and rarely chases out of the strike zone, giving pitchers little recourse to avoid damage. He struggles at times with changeups and pitches fading down and away from him, but he still projects to be an above-average hitter with plus power, if not more. Cartaya is a good athlete who is impressively limber for his size behind the plate. He presents a good target for his pitchers, frames well at the bottom of the strike zone and controls the run game with his plus-plus arm strength. He still needs to improve his framing at the top of the strike zone and his game-calling, but he has all the tools to be a plus defender. He will have to watch his size to maintain his athleticism and mobility in blocking as he gets older. Unable to return home to Venezuela during the coronavirus pandemic, Cartaya lived with Dodgers Triple-A manager Travis Barbary in South Carolina during the 2020 shutdown and rapidly learned English. He is an exceptionally hard worker who expertly retains scouting report information and invests deeply in his relationships with pitchers. He is a natural-born leader who remains poised in adverse situations and is comfortable communicating in both English and Spanish.
The Future: Cartaya’s repeated back injuries are concerning, but if he can stay healthy, he has the talent to be a franchise catcher who hits in the middle of a lineup and contends for Gold Glove awards. He is expected to be ready for the start of spring training and will likely spend most of the 2022 season at High-A Great Lakes.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 60. Speed: 30. Fielding: 60. Arm: 70.
5. Jasson Dominguez - OF - Yankees BA Grade: 60/Extreme
Track Record: Some scouts labeled Dominguez as one of the best international prospects they had seen when he signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2019. The lost season in 2020 pushed his debut back further but only increased the anticipation. He started the year in the Florida Complex League before moving to Low-A Tampa, where he held his own as one of a handful of 18-year-olds in full-season ball. Despite his inexperience, Dominguez participated in the 2021 Futures Game.
Scouting Report: One of the first things evaluators note about Dominguez is the way his body has changed. He has thickened up considerably into a much stockier player, which leads to questions about whether he can stick in center field. He’s already slowed down and now earns grades closer to average than the double-plus times scouts once saw. If Dominguez moves to a corner, his average arm, which has also backed up, would play in right field. At the plate, Dominguez went through the expected growing pains of dealing with pitchers who were more experienced and knew how to attack him with spin. The quality of his at-bats and swing decisions got better as the season went on, culminating in a .777 OPS in September. Outside evaluators noted plenty of excellent impact on contact, and he produced average and maximum exit velocities of 86 and 111 mph during his time in Low-A.
The Future: Though he did not show the star-level performance that would be expected of a player with his hype, Dominguez certainly held his own, especially considering the long layoff after signing. There’s quite a bit of polish still to apply, but Dominguez still could reach a ceiling of MLB regular.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 50. Arm: 50.
6. Greg Jones - SS - Rays BA Grade: 55/High
Track Record: The Rays collect shortstops like some fans collect bobbleheads. Tampa Bay’s reasoning is that shortstops who can hit can eventually find their way to almost anywhere around the diamond. Of all the Rays’ many minor league shortstops, Jones has the loudest tools. He’s shown flashes of being a power-speed threat who could be on a development path similar to Josh Lowe. Nagging injuries have slowed Jones’ development. His draft year a shoulder injury affected his throwing, a knee injury slowed him in 2020. And a quad injury kept him from going to the Arizona Fall League this year.
Scouting Report: There’s little Jones can’t do on a baseball field. He’s one of the Rays’ fastest runners, and he showed that plus-plus speed by swiping 34 bases in 36 tries. He also has plus raw power thanks to him having some of the best bat speed in the organization. His plus arm plays very well at shortstop—no Rays MiLB shortstop can make the highlight-level play better than Jones. While he makes the “can-you-believe-it" play, he’ll sometimes botch the routine one. His hands need to get a little softer. While he has speed and power, he’s prone to chasing pitches and doesn’t work counts all that well. His level swing isn’t necessarily geared for hitting home runs, but he hits the ball hard consistently enough to get to 15-20 of them per season..
The Future: Jones has the highest ceiling of the Rays many shortstop prospects thanks to his speed and developing power. He always has a fallback option of developing into a rangy center fielder. Jones is ticketed to return to Double-A Montgomery in 2022.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 55. Speed: 70. Fielding: 55. Arm: 60.
7. Curtis Mead - 3B/1B - Rays BA Grade: 55/High
Track Record: Growing up in Australia, Mead seemed destined to be an Australian rules football player. Mead’s father Tim had played in the Australian Baseball League, but according to Australia’s ABC News, Tim believed Curtis had a more promising football career ahead of him. The younger Mead decided to focus on baseball and quickly earned a spot on the Australian junior national team. He signed with the Phillies, but was quickly traded to the Rays for lefthander Cristopher Sanchez after the 2019 season. In 2021, Mead made a brief appearance in Triple-A while leading the minors with 38 doubles.
Scouting Report: Mead has the best combination of power, bat-to-ball skills and hitting ability among Rays minor leaguers. He manages to combine some of the best average exit velocities in the Rays system (90 mph average) with the kind of contact-heavy approach (15.5% strikeout percentage) the organization covets. His level swing produces more line drives than lofted home runs, but he regularly drills balls into the gaps. Mead hasn’t found a full-time defensive home. He has fringe-average range at third base and playable hands, but his throwing action is long and unorthodox and he can’t rifle a throw without getting his feet set. Most likely he will slide to first base more regularly as he moves up, but he’s athletic enough to be a plausible left fielder. He’s a below-average runner who likely will further slow down.
The Future: Mead will only be 21 for the entirety of the 2022 season that should see him start the year at Double-A Montgomery. He could be ready for Tampa Bay by the end of 2023.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 60. Power: 60. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 40.
8. Alec Burleson - RF - Cardinals BA Grade: 45/High
Track Record: Burleson excelled as a two-way player throughout his college career at East Carolina, including earning a selection to the USA Baseball Collegiate National team, and was drafted by the Cardinals in the supplemental second round in 2020. He made his pro debut in 2021 and rose three levels from High-A to Triple-A, hitting a combined .270/.329/.454 with 22 home runs in 119 games.
Scouting Report: Previously known as a contact-oriented hitter who rarely struck out, Burleson began taking bigger swings and increased his power production in his pro debut. He shows a propensity for barreling the ball and making hard contact in games, although the added power has come with more strikeouts as he’s started expanding the zone. Burleson’s bat path is still relatively flat, but he has a chance to add more loft to his swing and hit for even more power in the future. He should even out as an average hitter with average power. Burleson at times plays average defense in left and right field, but his arm is fringy despite his two-way background and he needs to be more consistent. He can also play first base, where he shows good footwork and actions.
The Future: Burleson should start the 2022 season back at Triple-A. His major league debut won’t be far off if he continues to swing the bat well.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 55. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 45.
9. Jesse Franklin - OF - Braves BA Grade: 45/Medium
Track Record: After two solid seasons at Michigan that included a 2019 trip to the College World Series, Franklin didn’t get to play as a junior in 2020 thanks to a broken collarbone. The Braves still drafted him in the third round and he paid off that faith with an excellent 2021 debut.
Scouting Report: Franklin started the season slow, hitting just .200/.228/.253 in 19 games during May at High-A Rome. The Braves got him a bit more upright and let him adopt a more power and pull-oriented approach, which yielded a .256/.343/.593 line with 24 home runs and 20 doubles from June through the end of the season. Franklin had shown a professional, contact-oriented, all-fields approach in the past, but Atlanta wanted to let him cut loose and see how hard he could drive the ball this year. Turns out he can drive the ball quite far, and is now the best power hitting prospect in the system, with 65-grade raw power. That power-oriented approach resulted in more chases and a 28.3% strikeout rate, but Franklin also posted the 13th-best isolated slugging among qualified minor leaguers 22 or younger and led the Braves system in homers. Franklin is an instinctual defender who can fill in as a center fielder if necessary thanks to an impressive first step and route running, but his pure speed and arm strength make him a better fit for left. Despite being an average or a tick better runner, he steals bases with efficiency (19-for-23, 82.6%).
The Future: The Braves want to see Franklin continue showing this sort of power, while improving his contact and walk rates at the next level. His best case scenario is as an everyday left fielder, but his most likely future role is a lefty-hitting platoon power bat.
Tool Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 55. Arm: 45
10. Miguel Amaya - C - Cubs
11. Bryce Jarvis - SP - Dbacks
12. Alex Santos - SP - Astros
13. Antonio Gomez - C - Yankees
14. Nelson Velazquez - OF - Cubs
15. Willy Vasquez - SS - Rays BA Grade: 55/Extreme
Track Record: When Vasquez signed with the Rays in 2019, he was expected to be a third baseman in a Rays international class full of shortstops—the official MLB stats portal incorrectly lists him as a catcher. Two years later, Vasquez is proving to be the most polished shortstop of that signing class. He’s gotten bigger and stronger without losing any agility. After an excellent pro debut in the Florida Complex League, he was promoted to Low-A Charleston for the playoffs and helped the RiverDogs win their league title by ripping a bases-clearing three-run triple in the deciding game.
Scouting Report: In 2014, the Rays acquired another Willy (Adames) in a trade with the Tigers. At the time, Adames was seen by many as someone who would outgrow shortstop, but he kept working on his agility to ensure he could remain at the position. Vasquez has a similar battle to fight, as he could outgrow shortstop, but he shows the body control, range and hands to stick there if he continues to make defensive development a focus. At the plate, Vasquez has the building blocks to be an above-average offensive player. He has above-average bat speed and has shown the ability already to drive a ball at 110-111 mph exit velocities at his best. Vasquez shows a solid understanding of the game at a young age and has developed into a team leader.
The Future: The Rays have a slew of shortstop prospects in the lower levels of the minors, but Vasquez has one of the best combinations of offensive and defensive impact potential. He should be ready for Low-A in 2022, having gotten a brief glimpse of what it’s like to play in front of crowds to wrap up 2021.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 50. Speed: 50. Fielding: 50. Arm: 55.
1. C.J. Abrams - SS - Padres BA Grade: 65/High
Track Record: Abrams long stood out as one of the best and most athletic players for his age in high school and made a big impression when he took over center field for USA Baseball’s 18U National Team and made the position look easy despite never playing it before. He followed with a sensational senior spring, and the Padres were thrilled when he fell to them at the sixth overall pick in 2019. They lured him away from an Alabama commitment with a $5.2 million signing bonus, and by the end of that first pro summer, Abrams had won the Rookie-level Arizona League’s MVP award after batting .401 and earned a promotion to Low-A Fort Wayne. That assignment, however, was halted after just two games due to a shoulder injury. Abrams spent 2020 at the Padres’ alternate training site and made his full-season debut at Double-A San Antonio in 2021, where he got off to a hot start before fracturing his left tibia and spraining his left MCL in a collision with second baseman Eguy Rosario in late June, ending his season. Abrams recovered in time to get back on the field in instructional league but bruised his left shoulder while sliding into a base, an injury that prevented him from participating in the Arizona Fall League.
Scouting Report: When he is on the field, Abrams stands out for all the right reasons. He has a flat, fluid swing and elite hand-eye coordination—thanks in large part to the various contraptions his dad devised during his youth—that allow him to hit any type of pitch no matter where it’s located. He expanded the strike zone a bit much in his first stint at San Antonio, which is not all that surprising given that he was essentially jumping from rookie ball all the way to Double-A. At his best, he has a keen eye for the zone and takes borderline pitches like a seasoned veteran. Abrams’ frame is long and lean, but he’s no slap hitter. He makes loud contact off the barrel and can drive the ball out to all fields. It’s not out of the question for him to develop 20-home run power as he matures. Abrams’ 80-grade speed allows him to regularly beat out infield singles and will make him an elite base-stealing threat once he learns pitchers’ tendencies. Defensively, Abrams has plus range at shortstop. He doesn’t always show off his above-average arm, but he has a plus internal clock and tends to save his bullets for when they’re needed. He has gotten more reliable at making the routine plays and will make the occasional highlight-reel play. While it’s easy to compare Abrams to the last shortstop to rise quickly through the Padres’ system, the similarities are few. Where Fernando Tatis Jr. seems to play with his hair on fire, Abrams is a low-motor player whose actions often appear effortless. Tatis’ presence means Abrams is likely destined for a position change. He has the athleticism and aptitude to make the transition to second base or center field when the time comes.
The Future: For all his talent, Abrams has just 348 plate appearances in three seasons and needs at-bats. If he can stay healthy, he should become a dynamic table-setter in front of Tatis and Manny Machado in the Padres’ lineup.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 70. Power: 50. Run: 80. Fielding: 60. Arm: 55.
2. Nolan Gorman - 3B/2B - Cardinals BA Grade: 60/High
Track Record: The top prep power hitter in the 2018 draft class, Gorman spent the 2019 season at the Class A levels before impressing at 2020 spring training and spending the summer at the alternate training site, where he continued to stand out offensively. He made his upper minors debut in 2021 and put together his best year as a pro. Gorman led the Cardinals organization with 231 total bases and finished third with 25 home runs as he climbed from Double-A Springfield to Triple-A Memphis, and did it while lowering his strikeout rate the higher he climbed.
Scouting Report: Gorman transitioned from third base to second base after the Cardinals acquired Nolan Arenado from the Rockies before the season. He impressed the organization with his range and actions while continuing to work on improving his footwork turning double plays. He has plus arm strength and projects to be a fringe-average, but playable, defender at the keystone. Regardless of position, it’ll be Gorman’s bat that makes him an above-average everyday player. He has plus-plus raw power and can hit a home run out of any park. He destroys pitches down in the zone and consistently posts high exit velocities. Gorman is an aggressive hitter who doesn’t walk much and is prone to chasing, but he makes enough contact to regularly access his power.
The Future: Gorman is on track to be a middle-of-the order slugger who hits 30-35 home runs per year. He is in position to make his major league debut sometime during the 2022 season.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 70. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 60.
3. Zac Veen - OF - Rockies BA Grade: 65/High
Track Record: A talented player considered on the fringe of the first round entering his senior year, Veen became the biggest riser during the shortened 2020 season after getting stronger and was drafted ninth overall by the Rockies, who gave him a $5 million signing bonus to pass up a scholarship offer from Florida. Veen impressed in instructional league after signing and followed up with a sensational pro debut at Low-A Fresno in 2021. Despite a slow start that saw him go his first 120 at-bats without a homer, Veen hit .301 with 15 home runs, 75 RBIs, 36 stolen bases and a .900 OPS for the Grizzlies, becoming one of only four players in the minors to have at least 15 home runs and 35 stolen bases. He did that while impressing defensively both in left and right field and notching eight outfield assists in only 95 games.
Scouting Report: Veen is a true five-tool player and has the potential to be a longtime anchor in the Rockies outfield. He presently has an all-pull approach and can be a bit aggressive, but he consistently drives balls hard on a line, handles all types of pitches and rakes equally against both righties and lefties in a way that is rare for a young, lefthanded hitter. Veen still has some tinkering to do to shorten his swing and use the whole field, but he’s already shown he can make adjustments and has a chance to be a plus hitter. He has plus raw power and is increasingly learning to add leverage to his swing, helping him project as a potential 30-home run threat once he fills out his athletic, projectable frame. In addition to his immense hitting potential, Veen is a dynamic, aggressive baserunner with long strides that create sneaky speed and make him a stolen base threat. Though he has just average pure foot speed, his aggressiveness makes him an above-average runner. Veen’s long strides enable him to make rangy plays to both his right and left in the outfield. He gets good reads off the bat, takes clean routes and charges in on balls well to project as a potential plus defender in the corners. His arm is his weakest tool, but it’s still average and makes him playable in both right and left field. In addition to his physical skills, Veen plays extremely hard and has an above-average internal clock for his age.
The Future: Veen will likely get an invitation to major league spring training and start the 2022 season at High-A Spokane. On the low end, Veen projects to be an everyday big leaguer who reliably puts up 15 home runs and 10 steals per year while hitting for a high average. On the high end, if he makes the necessary adjustments to his approach, he could be a 30-30 threat and a perennial all-star.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 60. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 60. Arm: 50.
4. Diego Cartaya - C - Dodgers BA Grade: 65/Very High
Track Record: Cartaya represented Venezuela at international tournaments from the time he was 10 years old and emerged early as the country’s top player in his class. He maintained that status through his teenage years and signed with the Dodgers for $2.5 million on the first day of the 2018-19 international signing period. Cartaya immediately impressed in the Rookie-level Arizona League in his pro debut and was the youngest player the Dodgers invited to their alternate training site in 2020, where he understandably struggled against older competition. A back muscle flareup delayed his full-season debut in 2021, but he reported to Low-A Rancho Cucamonga in late May and became an instant star. He hit 10 home runs in 31 games while showing uncommon poise and maturity defensively behind the plate before his season was cut short by injuries. He went on the injured list with a strained hamstring in July and re-injured his back in August while he was rehabbing. The Dodgers shut him down for the year.
Scouting Report: Though only 20 years old, Cartaya is a big, physical masher who is a force at the plate. He is an extraordinarily mature hitter who expertly manages the strike zone, recognizes pitches out of the hand and makes ear-ringing contact with controlled, powerful swings. His efficient swing and natural strength create booming, all-fields power with remarkable ease, and he stays through the big part of the field in his approach to hit towering drives from left-center to right-center. Cartaya turns around premium velocity, stays on breaking balls, covers the entire plate and rarely chases out of the strike zone, giving pitchers little recourse to avoid damage. He struggles at times with changeups and pitches fading down and away from him, but he still projects to be an above-average hitter with plus power, if not more. Cartaya is a good athlete who is impressively limber for his size behind the plate. He presents a good target for his pitchers, frames well at the bottom of the strike zone and controls the run game with his plus-plus arm strength. He still needs to improve his framing at the top of the strike zone and his game-calling, but he has all the tools to be a plus defender. He will have to watch his size to maintain his athleticism and mobility in blocking as he gets older. Unable to return home to Venezuela during the coronavirus pandemic, Cartaya lived with Dodgers Triple-A manager Travis Barbary in South Carolina during the 2020 shutdown and rapidly learned English. He is an exceptionally hard worker who expertly retains scouting report information and invests deeply in his relationships with pitchers. He is a natural-born leader who remains poised in adverse situations and is comfortable communicating in both English and Spanish.
The Future: Cartaya’s repeated back injuries are concerning, but if he can stay healthy, he has the talent to be a franchise catcher who hits in the middle of a lineup and contends for Gold Glove awards. He is expected to be ready for the start of spring training and will likely spend most of the 2022 season at High-A Great Lakes.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 60. Speed: 30. Fielding: 60. Arm: 70.
5. Jasson Dominguez - OF - Yankees BA Grade: 60/Extreme
Track Record: Some scouts labeled Dominguez as one of the best international prospects they had seen when he signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2019. The lost season in 2020 pushed his debut back further but only increased the anticipation. He started the year in the Florida Complex League before moving to Low-A Tampa, where he held his own as one of a handful of 18-year-olds in full-season ball. Despite his inexperience, Dominguez participated in the 2021 Futures Game.
Scouting Report: One of the first things evaluators note about Dominguez is the way his body has changed. He has thickened up considerably into a much stockier player, which leads to questions about whether he can stick in center field. He’s already slowed down and now earns grades closer to average than the double-plus times scouts once saw. If Dominguez moves to a corner, his average arm, which has also backed up, would play in right field. At the plate, Dominguez went through the expected growing pains of dealing with pitchers who were more experienced and knew how to attack him with spin. The quality of his at-bats and swing decisions got better as the season went on, culminating in a .777 OPS in September. Outside evaluators noted plenty of excellent impact on contact, and he produced average and maximum exit velocities of 86 and 111 mph during his time in Low-A.
The Future: Though he did not show the star-level performance that would be expected of a player with his hype, Dominguez certainly held his own, especially considering the long layoff after signing. There’s quite a bit of polish still to apply, but Dominguez still could reach a ceiling of MLB regular.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 50. Arm: 50.
6. Greg Jones - SS - Rays BA Grade: 55/High
Track Record: The Rays collect shortstops like some fans collect bobbleheads. Tampa Bay’s reasoning is that shortstops who can hit can eventually find their way to almost anywhere around the diamond. Of all the Rays’ many minor league shortstops, Jones has the loudest tools. He’s shown flashes of being a power-speed threat who could be on a development path similar to Josh Lowe. Nagging injuries have slowed Jones’ development. His draft year a shoulder injury affected his throwing, a knee injury slowed him in 2020. And a quad injury kept him from going to the Arizona Fall League this year.
Scouting Report: There’s little Jones can’t do on a baseball field. He’s one of the Rays’ fastest runners, and he showed that plus-plus speed by swiping 34 bases in 36 tries. He also has plus raw power thanks to him having some of the best bat speed in the organization. His plus arm plays very well at shortstop—no Rays MiLB shortstop can make the highlight-level play better than Jones. While he makes the “can-you-believe-it" play, he’ll sometimes botch the routine one. His hands need to get a little softer. While he has speed and power, he’s prone to chasing pitches and doesn’t work counts all that well. His level swing isn’t necessarily geared for hitting home runs, but he hits the ball hard consistently enough to get to 15-20 of them per season..
The Future: Jones has the highest ceiling of the Rays many shortstop prospects thanks to his speed and developing power. He always has a fallback option of developing into a rangy center fielder. Jones is ticketed to return to Double-A Montgomery in 2022.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 55. Speed: 70. Fielding: 55. Arm: 60.
7. Curtis Mead - 3B/1B - Rays BA Grade: 55/High
Track Record: Growing up in Australia, Mead seemed destined to be an Australian rules football player. Mead’s father Tim had played in the Australian Baseball League, but according to Australia’s ABC News, Tim believed Curtis had a more promising football career ahead of him. The younger Mead decided to focus on baseball and quickly earned a spot on the Australian junior national team. He signed with the Phillies, but was quickly traded to the Rays for lefthander Cristopher Sanchez after the 2019 season. In 2021, Mead made a brief appearance in Triple-A while leading the minors with 38 doubles.
Scouting Report: Mead has the best combination of power, bat-to-ball skills and hitting ability among Rays minor leaguers. He manages to combine some of the best average exit velocities in the Rays system (90 mph average) with the kind of contact-heavy approach (15.5% strikeout percentage) the organization covets. His level swing produces more line drives than lofted home runs, but he regularly drills balls into the gaps. Mead hasn’t found a full-time defensive home. He has fringe-average range at third base and playable hands, but his throwing action is long and unorthodox and he can’t rifle a throw without getting his feet set. Most likely he will slide to first base more regularly as he moves up, but he’s athletic enough to be a plausible left fielder. He’s a below-average runner who likely will further slow down.
The Future: Mead will only be 21 for the entirety of the 2022 season that should see him start the year at Double-A Montgomery. He could be ready for Tampa Bay by the end of 2023.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 60. Power: 60. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 40.
8. Alec Burleson - RF - Cardinals BA Grade: 45/High
Track Record: Burleson excelled as a two-way player throughout his college career at East Carolina, including earning a selection to the USA Baseball Collegiate National team, and was drafted by the Cardinals in the supplemental second round in 2020. He made his pro debut in 2021 and rose three levels from High-A to Triple-A, hitting a combined .270/.329/.454 with 22 home runs in 119 games.
Scouting Report: Previously known as a contact-oriented hitter who rarely struck out, Burleson began taking bigger swings and increased his power production in his pro debut. He shows a propensity for barreling the ball and making hard contact in games, although the added power has come with more strikeouts as he’s started expanding the zone. Burleson’s bat path is still relatively flat, but he has a chance to add more loft to his swing and hit for even more power in the future. He should even out as an average hitter with average power. Burleson at times plays average defense in left and right field, but his arm is fringy despite his two-way background and he needs to be more consistent. He can also play first base, where he shows good footwork and actions.
The Future: Burleson should start the 2022 season back at Triple-A. His major league debut won’t be far off if he continues to swing the bat well.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 55. Speed: 40. Fielding: 45. Arm: 45.
9. Jesse Franklin - OF - Braves BA Grade: 45/Medium
Track Record: After two solid seasons at Michigan that included a 2019 trip to the College World Series, Franklin didn’t get to play as a junior in 2020 thanks to a broken collarbone. The Braves still drafted him in the third round and he paid off that faith with an excellent 2021 debut.
Scouting Report: Franklin started the season slow, hitting just .200/.228/.253 in 19 games during May at High-A Rome. The Braves got him a bit more upright and let him adopt a more power and pull-oriented approach, which yielded a .256/.343/.593 line with 24 home runs and 20 doubles from June through the end of the season. Franklin had shown a professional, contact-oriented, all-fields approach in the past, but Atlanta wanted to let him cut loose and see how hard he could drive the ball this year. Turns out he can drive the ball quite far, and is now the best power hitting prospect in the system, with 65-grade raw power. That power-oriented approach resulted in more chases and a 28.3% strikeout rate, but Franklin also posted the 13th-best isolated slugging among qualified minor leaguers 22 or younger and led the Braves system in homers. Franklin is an instinctual defender who can fill in as a center fielder if necessary thanks to an impressive first step and route running, but his pure speed and arm strength make him a better fit for left. Despite being an average or a tick better runner, he steals bases with efficiency (19-for-23, 82.6%).
The Future: The Braves want to see Franklin continue showing this sort of power, while improving his contact and walk rates at the next level. His best case scenario is as an everyday left fielder, but his most likely future role is a lefty-hitting platoon power bat.
Tool Grades: Hit: 45. Power: 60. Speed: 50. Fielding: 55. Arm: 45
10. Miguel Amaya - C - Cubs
11. Bryce Jarvis - SP - Dbacks
12. Alex Santos - SP - Astros
13. Antonio Gomez - C - Yankees
14. Nelson Velazquez - OF - Cubs
15. Willy Vasquez - SS - Rays BA Grade: 55/Extreme
Track Record: When Vasquez signed with the Rays in 2019, he was expected to be a third baseman in a Rays international class full of shortstops—the official MLB stats portal incorrectly lists him as a catcher. Two years later, Vasquez is proving to be the most polished shortstop of that signing class. He’s gotten bigger and stronger without losing any agility. After an excellent pro debut in the Florida Complex League, he was promoted to Low-A Charleston for the playoffs and helped the RiverDogs win their league title by ripping a bases-clearing three-run triple in the deciding game.
Scouting Report: In 2014, the Rays acquired another Willy (Adames) in a trade with the Tigers. At the time, Adames was seen by many as someone who would outgrow shortstop, but he kept working on his agility to ensure he could remain at the position. Vasquez has a similar battle to fight, as he could outgrow shortstop, but he shows the body control, range and hands to stick there if he continues to make defensive development a focus. At the plate, Vasquez has the building blocks to be an above-average offensive player. He has above-average bat speed and has shown the ability already to drive a ball at 110-111 mph exit velocities at his best. Vasquez shows a solid understanding of the game at a young age and has developed into a team leader.
The Future: The Rays have a slew of shortstop prospects in the lower levels of the minors, but Vasquez has one of the best combinations of offensive and defensive impact potential. He should be ready for Low-A in 2022, having gotten a brief glimpse of what it’s like to play in front of crowds to wrap up 2021.
Scouting Grades: Hit: 55. Power: 50. Speed: 50. Fielding: 50. Arm: 55.