Re: Down on the Farm - 2026
Posted: Mon Feb 02, 2026 12:04 pm
From KLaw's Just Missed list: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/699759 ... keith-law/
Slade Caldwell, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Height: 5-9 | Weight: 182 | Bats: L | Throws: L | Age: 20
Caldwell has a chance to be a pure leadoff hitter in the old-fashioned sense, a guy who sees a ton of pitches to try to get on base and to show hitters behind him what a pitcher’s arsenal is like, hitting for average without a ton of power and adding some value on the bases with his legs.
He finished eighth in all of the minors last year with 91 walks, third among teenagers (with Alfredo Duno above him), as he walked over 15 percent of the time at both levels of A-ball in his full-season debut. It’s a combination of factors, including pitch recognition, a small strike zone (he is a legit 5-foot-7, regardless of what the listed height is), and one of the lowest swing rates in baseball. Caldwell swung at 34 percent of pitches he saw last year, which is lower than any big leaguer in 2025, including a very low chase rate of 15 percent, but also a low 56 percent swing rate at pitches in the zone — only Chase Meidroth and Bryson Stott had lower Z-swing rates among qualifying MLB hitters last year. The result of all of this is that he gets on base a ton, but nearly half of his strikeouts last year came on called third strikes, as he needs to start to swing the bat more.
Caldwell is a plus defender already in center with good instincts and has shown improvements already since signing with the Diamondbacks as their first-round pick in 2024. He is strong for his size — I met him at the Futures Game, and he looks like Michelangelo just carved him out of marble, albeit a very short slab — and should be able to impact the ball enough to hit for average with some gap power. The concerns I’ve heard from scouts are that he’s too passive and won’t hit the ball in the seats enough. I agree with the former, but if his profile is really 60 or better defense with solid batting averages, that’s an everyday player. The Diamondbacks promoted him after he hit .294/.460/.454 in 48 Low-A games, after which he hit .238/.370/.311 in High A as a 19-year-old. We might see him a little differently had he spent more time at the lower level.
Slade Caldwell, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Height: 5-9 | Weight: 182 | Bats: L | Throws: L | Age: 20
Caldwell has a chance to be a pure leadoff hitter in the old-fashioned sense, a guy who sees a ton of pitches to try to get on base and to show hitters behind him what a pitcher’s arsenal is like, hitting for average without a ton of power and adding some value on the bases with his legs.
He finished eighth in all of the minors last year with 91 walks, third among teenagers (with Alfredo Duno above him), as he walked over 15 percent of the time at both levels of A-ball in his full-season debut. It’s a combination of factors, including pitch recognition, a small strike zone (he is a legit 5-foot-7, regardless of what the listed height is), and one of the lowest swing rates in baseball. Caldwell swung at 34 percent of pitches he saw last year, which is lower than any big leaguer in 2025, including a very low chase rate of 15 percent, but also a low 56 percent swing rate at pitches in the zone — only Chase Meidroth and Bryson Stott had lower Z-swing rates among qualifying MLB hitters last year. The result of all of this is that he gets on base a ton, but nearly half of his strikeouts last year came on called third strikes, as he needs to start to swing the bat more.
Caldwell is a plus defender already in center with good instincts and has shown improvements already since signing with the Diamondbacks as their first-round pick in 2024. He is strong for his size — I met him at the Futures Game, and he looks like Michelangelo just carved him out of marble, albeit a very short slab — and should be able to impact the ball enough to hit for average with some gap power. The concerns I’ve heard from scouts are that he’s too passive and won’t hit the ball in the seats enough. I agree with the former, but if his profile is really 60 or better defense with solid batting averages, that’s an everyday player. The Diamondbacks promoted him after he hit .294/.460/.454 in 48 Low-A games, after which he hit .238/.370/.311 in High A as a 19-year-old. We might see him a little differently had he spent more time at the lower level.