I could read about Russell for days...
BA A's Top 10:
1. Addison Russell, ss
Background: A prominent amateur player, Russell was one of just two underclassmen to play in the 2010 Under Armour All-America Game. Athletics scouts were impressed at how he stood out playing with USA Baseball’s 18-and-under team, where he hit a grand slam in the gold-medal win against Canada in the 2011 Pan Am Championship in Colombia. In 2012, Oakland made him its first first-round pick out of high school since Jeremy Bonderman in 2001. The 11th overall pick, Russell signed for $2.625 million. After tearing up three levels in his pro debut in 2012, he earned an invitation to big league spring training in 2013. The A’s gave him an aggressive assignment to high Class A Stockton, where he was the youngest player on a California League Opening Day roster by six months. Russell took some time to catch up with the speed of the league but hit .305/.424/.555 in the second half.
Scouting Report: Russell can do everything on the field while showing polish beyond his years. His swing hasn’t required much tinkering since he entered pro ball, as he generates explosive bat speed and has the bat-to-ball skills to make consistent contact. During Russell’s time in big league camp last spring, A’s manager Bob Melvin noted the quality of his at-bats. He uses the whole field and stays inside the ball well. He already had a mature approach, but he chased fewer pitches and controlled the strike zone even better as the 2013 season went along. His 61 walks were the second-most of any Stockton player. Russell has plenty of power for a shortstop, though he’ll rate close to average overall as he projects to continue producing 15-20 homers a season after clubbing 17 in 2013. Russell tried bulking up in high school to become more of a power hitter, but the extra muscle did little more than relegate him to third base with Team USA. As a result, he refocused his efforts on making sure he could stay at shortstop, and few question his defensive future now. Russell has solid fundamentals and takes good angles to balls. His lower half works well, and he has the range and athleticism to make plenty of highlight-quality plays. He doesn’t have a cannon for an arm, but it’s strong enough for the position and plays up thanks to his quick transfer and accuracy. He runs well and steals bases efficiently.
The Future: The question isn’t if Russell will become the A’s everyday shortstop, but when. Jed Lowrie and Nick Punto will hold down the position in 2014, but neither should stand in Russell’s way when he’s ready. Slated to open 2014 at Double-A Midland, he should debut in Oakland at some point in 2014 and be the regular shortstop in 2015.
Following the Baby Nats...
Moderator: Yankees
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Rockies Top 10:
#3 David Dahl | 60/A- (OF)
The Year in Review: Dahl had a nightmare 2013 season. The 10th overall draft pick in the 2012 amateur draft received an opening day assignment to Low-A ball but that was quickly overturned and he was demoted to extended spring training for disciplinary reasons. He then returned to that level in late April but appeared in just 10 games in ’13 thanks to a torn hamstring.
The Scouting Report: Dahl is a rare true five-tool talent. He makes excellent contact and has an advanced feel for hitting. He could eventually hit 20+ home runs but is still learning to tap into his left-handed pop on a consistent basis. He is an above-average runner, which helps him play an excellent center field and he also has a strong arm.
The Year Ahead: Dahl will no doubt return to Low-A ball and look to put his disastrous ’13 season behind him. He posted a 1.048 OPS during his debut season in 2012 so the raw talent is definitely there; he just needs to find a way to channel his energies in an effect manner on the baseball diamond.
The Career Outlook: The Alabama native will turn 20 in early April so time is still on his side. He has the talent to be an outstanding big league outfielder if he can continue to mature both on and off the field.
#3 David Dahl | 60/A- (OF)
The Year in Review: Dahl had a nightmare 2013 season. The 10th overall draft pick in the 2012 amateur draft received an opening day assignment to Low-A ball but that was quickly overturned and he was demoted to extended spring training for disciplinary reasons. He then returned to that level in late April but appeared in just 10 games in ’13 thanks to a torn hamstring.
The Scouting Report: Dahl is a rare true five-tool talent. He makes excellent contact and has an advanced feel for hitting. He could eventually hit 20+ home runs but is still learning to tap into his left-handed pop on a consistent basis. He is an above-average runner, which helps him play an excellent center field and he also has a strong arm.
The Year Ahead: Dahl will no doubt return to Low-A ball and look to put his disastrous ’13 season behind him. He posted a 1.048 OPS during his debut season in 2012 so the raw talent is definitely there; he just needs to find a way to channel his energies in an effect manner on the baseball diamond.
The Career Outlook: The Alabama native will turn 20 in early April so time is still on his side. He has the talent to be an outstanding big league outfielder if he can continue to mature both on and off the field.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
BP Top 101 - Just Missed:
Allen Webster, RHP, Boston Red Sox
If you believe Webster is a starter, a legitimate mid-rotation arm who can bring two plus pitches to the table and back them up with multiple breaking ball looks that can play above-average, he belongs not only in the top 101, but perhaps in the top 50. Personally, I think Webster ends up pitching near the back of a major-league bullpen, a frontline setup type who can push his already above-average arsenal higher in bursts while minimizing some of his shortcomings in command. That profile still puts him on the bubble for the 101, but he tasted the axe because of the internal projections about his likely role.
Allen Webster, RHP, Boston Red Sox
If you believe Webster is a starter, a legitimate mid-rotation arm who can bring two plus pitches to the table and back them up with multiple breaking ball looks that can play above-average, he belongs not only in the top 101, but perhaps in the top 50. Personally, I think Webster ends up pitching near the back of a major-league bullpen, a frontline setup type who can push his already above-average arsenal higher in bursts while minimizing some of his shortcomings in command. That profile still puts him on the bubble for the 101, but he tasted the axe because of the internal projections about his likely role.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Yankees Top 10:
#5 Slade Heathcott | 55/AA (OF)
The Year in Review: What was new with Heathcott in 2013? Well, he was a little underwhelming with the bat, ran through a few walls, and he got hurt… so, in other words, nothing. His season ended prematurely in August due to a knee injury and he reportedly had surgery in the offseason
The Scouting Report: To say Heathcott hustles is an understatement. Unfortunately, his all-out play lends itself to injuries — both of the serious and of the nagging varieties, which have cut into his development time and hindered his effectiveness. His aggression gets the better of him at the plate and he strikes out too much for someone who should be building his game around getting on base and letting others drive him in. Defensively, Heathcott plays a very good centre field with excellent range, good reads and an average arm.
The Year Ahead: As mentioned above, his season ended prematurely due to a knee injury and he reportedly had surgery in the offseason so it remains to be seen if he’ll be at full strength in early April. Heathcott may have to return to Double-A to open the 2014 season but he’ll likely see Triple-A by the second half (assuming he’s not on the disabled list).
The Career Outlook: Heathcott is the kind of player who’s probably always going to spend significant time on the disabled list because of how hard he plays the game. Even so, he’s going to be downright entertaining.
#9 Jose Ramirez | 55/AAA (P)
The Year in Review: Ramirez was held back in extended spring training in 2013 and did not make his season debut until late April. He made nine appearances (eight starts) in Double-A and held hitters to a .192 batting average. Then promoted to Triple-A, Ramirez started another eight games but was shut down in July when injuries popped up again.
The Scouting Report: The Dominican righty has a nasty one-two punch with his mid-90s fastball and plus changeup. His curveball still needs a fair bit of polish to become a reliable, average offering. That development will be key in helping him remain in the starting rotation, as will the ability to avoid the infirmary.
The Year Ahead: Ramirez should return to Triple-A to prove he’s healthy and also look to polish his breaking ball enough to stick in the starting rotation, similar to the Cardinals’ Michael Wacha.
The Career Outlook: Ramirez has a chance to be a solid No. 3 starter if he reaches his full potential. If starting fails, though, he could have a future as a dominant high-leverage reliever with two plus pitches.
Jose Campos, RHP: The Yankees appeared to have pulled off a real steal of a deal in early 2012 when the club acquired Michael Pineda and Campos from Seattle for young slugging catcher Jesus Montero but the deal hasn’t really worked out for anyone. Montero was a disappointment and both arms have dealt with injuries. Campos, though, continues to show glimpses of brilliance and is just 21 years old.
#5 Slade Heathcott | 55/AA (OF)
The Year in Review: What was new with Heathcott in 2013? Well, he was a little underwhelming with the bat, ran through a few walls, and he got hurt… so, in other words, nothing. His season ended prematurely in August due to a knee injury and he reportedly had surgery in the offseason
The Scouting Report: To say Heathcott hustles is an understatement. Unfortunately, his all-out play lends itself to injuries — both of the serious and of the nagging varieties, which have cut into his development time and hindered his effectiveness. His aggression gets the better of him at the plate and he strikes out too much for someone who should be building his game around getting on base and letting others drive him in. Defensively, Heathcott plays a very good centre field with excellent range, good reads and an average arm.
The Year Ahead: As mentioned above, his season ended prematurely due to a knee injury and he reportedly had surgery in the offseason so it remains to be seen if he’ll be at full strength in early April. Heathcott may have to return to Double-A to open the 2014 season but he’ll likely see Triple-A by the second half (assuming he’s not on the disabled list).
The Career Outlook: Heathcott is the kind of player who’s probably always going to spend significant time on the disabled list because of how hard he plays the game. Even so, he’s going to be downright entertaining.
#9 Jose Ramirez | 55/AAA (P)
The Year in Review: Ramirez was held back in extended spring training in 2013 and did not make his season debut until late April. He made nine appearances (eight starts) in Double-A and held hitters to a .192 batting average. Then promoted to Triple-A, Ramirez started another eight games but was shut down in July when injuries popped up again.
The Scouting Report: The Dominican righty has a nasty one-two punch with his mid-90s fastball and plus changeup. His curveball still needs a fair bit of polish to become a reliable, average offering. That development will be key in helping him remain in the starting rotation, as will the ability to avoid the infirmary.
The Year Ahead: Ramirez should return to Triple-A to prove he’s healthy and also look to polish his breaking ball enough to stick in the starting rotation, similar to the Cardinals’ Michael Wacha.
The Career Outlook: Ramirez has a chance to be a solid No. 3 starter if he reaches his full potential. If starting fails, though, he could have a future as a dominant high-leverage reliever with two plus pitches.
Jose Campos, RHP: The Yankees appeared to have pulled off a real steal of a deal in early 2012 when the club acquired Michael Pineda and Campos from Seattle for young slugging catcher Jesus Montero but the deal hasn’t really worked out for anyone. Montero was a disappointment and both arms have dealt with injuries. Campos, though, continues to show glimpses of brilliance and is just 21 years old.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Pirates BP Top 10:
4. Reese McGuire
The Tools: 7+ arm; 6+ potential glove; 5+ run; 5+ potential hit; 5 potential power
What Happened in 2013: A rare five-tool talent behind the plate, McGuire has yet to receive the national love, but his time is coming as a top-tier prospect.
Strengths: Good athlete; good present strength/coordination; arm is big weapon; receiving projects to plus or better; intelligence for calling games; shows a good swing at the plate; generates good bat speed and can drive the ball; above-average potential hit; average potential power; solid run; huge makeup.
Weaknesses: Still refining as a receiver; working on footwork/positioning; can get too aggressive with the arm; sources are mixed on the stick; pessimists see a fringe hit tool; likely to struggle against better velocity/secondaries; game power could play below average.
Overall Future Potential: High 6; first-division/all-star
Realistic Role: 6; first division player
Risk Factor/Injury History: High risk; dual-threat development; limited professional experience.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: McGuire is not Austin Hedges, as far as the gap between real-life and fantasy value goes, but he’s certainly more valuable from a real-life standpoint. Right now, he offers enough fantasy upside to roster. He doesn’t project to be a huge help in any individual categories, but could forge a fantasy future as a early career Russell Martin type—a catcher who can hit a little, has some pop and runs a bit.
The Year Ahead: I love plus defensive catchers with near elite arms, especially when the profile is completed with makeup that scouts line up to champion. McGuire is incredibly underrated as a prospect, a legit five-tool backstop who is a better athlete than people realize and who could develop into a gold glove-caliber defender. If the bat is average, he could be a major-league regular for a very long time. He’s an all-star if the bat offers anything close to its projection. I wouldn’t be shocked if McGuire climbs the prospect lists in 2014 after a strong full-season campaign. I’m very high on this prospect.
Major league ETA: 2017
5. Josh Bell
The Tools: 6 potential hit; 6 potential power; 5+ arm; 5 glove; 5 run
What Happened in 2013: An injury marred his full-season debut in 2012, but a return to health saw Bell take a step forward in his return in 2013, ripping 52 extra-base hits as a 20-year-old.
Strengths: Good athlete with size; good present strength; natural feel for hitting; right hand stroke is easy and clean; quick to the ball and consistent hard contact; hit tool projects to plus; power is still developing, but projects to be plus; left-handed swing shows bat speed and lift; arm is above average; average run; can show all five tools.
Weaknesses: Power mechanics from the left side; tendency to drop his back shoulder and load up for the long ball; susceptible to quality secondary stuff; corner profile in the outfield; arm is strong but doesn’t always show above-average utility; lacks big recovery speed on bad read/routes.
Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player
Realistic Role: 5; major-league regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; Low-A experience; knee injury on resume (2012); early makeup concerns.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: The bottom really fell out of Bell’s value this season—to the point where I was called an idiot on Twitter for saying I would take him over Devon Travis in fantasy leagues. This is still a guy who could hit .280 and 25-plus bombs with a lot of RBIs. If his current owner doesn’t still believe, by all means step in and relieve him/her of Bell.
The Year Ahead: In 2013, Bell flashed the talent to justify his $5M price tag, and should continue to build on the success in 2014. It’s not an elite profile, but both the hit tool and the power could play to plus, and he has more than enough athleticism to handle a corner outfield spot. It will be interesting to see how he responds as a switch-hitter to better pitching, as he has a tendency to sell out from the left side and could open himself up to exploitation if continues to cheat on the fastball and load up the power. I think Bell could be ready to take another step forward, with the potential to blossom into a top 50 player in the minors.
Major league ETA: Late 2015
4. Reese McGuire
The Tools: 7+ arm; 6+ potential glove; 5+ run; 5+ potential hit; 5 potential power
What Happened in 2013: A rare five-tool talent behind the plate, McGuire has yet to receive the national love, but his time is coming as a top-tier prospect.
Strengths: Good athlete; good present strength/coordination; arm is big weapon; receiving projects to plus or better; intelligence for calling games; shows a good swing at the plate; generates good bat speed and can drive the ball; above-average potential hit; average potential power; solid run; huge makeup.
Weaknesses: Still refining as a receiver; working on footwork/positioning; can get too aggressive with the arm; sources are mixed on the stick; pessimists see a fringe hit tool; likely to struggle against better velocity/secondaries; game power could play below average.
Overall Future Potential: High 6; first-division/all-star
Realistic Role: 6; first division player
Risk Factor/Injury History: High risk; dual-threat development; limited professional experience.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: McGuire is not Austin Hedges, as far as the gap between real-life and fantasy value goes, but he’s certainly more valuable from a real-life standpoint. Right now, he offers enough fantasy upside to roster. He doesn’t project to be a huge help in any individual categories, but could forge a fantasy future as a early career Russell Martin type—a catcher who can hit a little, has some pop and runs a bit.
The Year Ahead: I love plus defensive catchers with near elite arms, especially when the profile is completed with makeup that scouts line up to champion. McGuire is incredibly underrated as a prospect, a legit five-tool backstop who is a better athlete than people realize and who could develop into a gold glove-caliber defender. If the bat is average, he could be a major-league regular for a very long time. He’s an all-star if the bat offers anything close to its projection. I wouldn’t be shocked if McGuire climbs the prospect lists in 2014 after a strong full-season campaign. I’m very high on this prospect.
Major league ETA: 2017
5. Josh Bell
The Tools: 6 potential hit; 6 potential power; 5+ arm; 5 glove; 5 run
What Happened in 2013: An injury marred his full-season debut in 2012, but a return to health saw Bell take a step forward in his return in 2013, ripping 52 extra-base hits as a 20-year-old.
Strengths: Good athlete with size; good present strength; natural feel for hitting; right hand stroke is easy and clean; quick to the ball and consistent hard contact; hit tool projects to plus; power is still developing, but projects to be plus; left-handed swing shows bat speed and lift; arm is above average; average run; can show all five tools.
Weaknesses: Power mechanics from the left side; tendency to drop his back shoulder and load up for the long ball; susceptible to quality secondary stuff; corner profile in the outfield; arm is strong but doesn’t always show above-average utility; lacks big recovery speed on bad read/routes.
Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player
Realistic Role: 5; major-league regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; Low-A experience; knee injury on resume (2012); early makeup concerns.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: The bottom really fell out of Bell’s value this season—to the point where I was called an idiot on Twitter for saying I would take him over Devon Travis in fantasy leagues. This is still a guy who could hit .280 and 25-plus bombs with a lot of RBIs. If his current owner doesn’t still believe, by all means step in and relieve him/her of Bell.
The Year Ahead: In 2013, Bell flashed the talent to justify his $5M price tag, and should continue to build on the success in 2014. It’s not an elite profile, but both the hit tool and the power could play to plus, and he has more than enough athleticism to handle a corner outfield spot. It will be interesting to see how he responds as a switch-hitter to better pitching, as he has a tendency to sell out from the left side and could open himself up to exploitation if continues to cheat on the fastball and load up the power. I think Bell could be ready to take another step forward, with the potential to blossom into a top 50 player in the minors.
Major league ETA: Late 2015
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Keith Law Top 100 - Just Missed:
Allen Webster, RHP | Boston Red Sox
Top 2013 level: Majors
Webster still shows lots of pluses -- mid-90s velocity, good sink and a swing-and-miss changeup -- but he's also shown two big minuses that knocked him from a top-100 spot last year. One is that he still doesn't have a consistently average breaking ball, with a slider ahead of his curve, but neither there yet as a strong second pitch. The other is command; for a guy who can really sink the ball, Webster pitches up in the zone with his fastball far too often, and big league hitters were more than happy to show him the error of his ways during his brief stint in Boston (8.60 ERA in 30 1/3 innings).
He turns 24 this month and could still develop into a No. 3 starter, but the more years that go by and he doesn't find that third pitch or improve his fastball command, the more likely it is that he ends up falling short.
Andrew Susac, C | San Francisco Giants
Top 2013 level: Double-A (Richmond)
Like Murphy, Susac looks like an everyday catcher in the majors, although his production will be different: less defense, more power. Susac, who turns 24 in March, has a plus arm, nailing 40 percent of runners last year in the Eastern League, but his receiving is only fair, and he'll create more value with his bat between the 15-20 homer power and his patience at the plate.
Edwin Escobar, lhp, San Francisco
Top 2013 level: Double-A (Richmond)
Acquired from Texas in April 2010 so the Rangers could keep Rule 5 pick Ben Snyder, Escobar slowly blossomed into a back-of-the-rotation starter candidate, showing a fastball up to 93-94 mph in 2013 and an above-average to plus changeup. His curveball is fringe-average, but he hasn't had trouble against left-handed batters through Double-A. Scouts praise the 21-year-old's feel for pitching, and as the stuff stands now he's a potential fourth starter with a chance for a little more.
Allen Webster, RHP | Boston Red Sox
Top 2013 level: Majors
Webster still shows lots of pluses -- mid-90s velocity, good sink and a swing-and-miss changeup -- but he's also shown two big minuses that knocked him from a top-100 spot last year. One is that he still doesn't have a consistently average breaking ball, with a slider ahead of his curve, but neither there yet as a strong second pitch. The other is command; for a guy who can really sink the ball, Webster pitches up in the zone with his fastball far too often, and big league hitters were more than happy to show him the error of his ways during his brief stint in Boston (8.60 ERA in 30 1/3 innings).
He turns 24 this month and could still develop into a No. 3 starter, but the more years that go by and he doesn't find that third pitch or improve his fastball command, the more likely it is that he ends up falling short.
Andrew Susac, C | San Francisco Giants
Top 2013 level: Double-A (Richmond)
Like Murphy, Susac looks like an everyday catcher in the majors, although his production will be different: less defense, more power. Susac, who turns 24 in March, has a plus arm, nailing 40 percent of runners last year in the Eastern League, but his receiving is only fair, and he'll create more value with his bat between the 15-20 homer power and his patience at the plate.
Edwin Escobar, lhp, San Francisco
Top 2013 level: Double-A (Richmond)
Acquired from Texas in April 2010 so the Rangers could keep Rule 5 pick Ben Snyder, Escobar slowly blossomed into a back-of-the-rotation starter candidate, showing a fastball up to 93-94 mph in 2013 and an above-average to plus changeup. His curveball is fringe-average, but he hasn't had trouble against left-handed batters through Double-A. Scouts praise the 21-year-old's feel for pitching, and as the stuff stands now he's a potential fourth starter with a chance for a little more.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Reds Top 10:
12. Daniel Corcino, RHP: The 2013 season will be one to forget for Corcino. He was torched in Triple-A when both his command and control deserted him. The Dominican worked up in the zone too often and needs to pound the lower half of the zone more consistently. He spent time in the Puerto Rico Winter League as a reliever and thrived. A permanent move to the bullpen could be in the cards.
12. Daniel Corcino, RHP: The 2013 season will be one to forget for Corcino. He was torched in Triple-A when both his command and control deserted him. The Dominican worked up in the zone too often and needs to pound the lower half of the zone more consistently. He spent time in the Puerto Rico Winter League as a reliever and thrived. A permanent move to the bullpen could be in the cards.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Cardinals BP Top 10:
10. Vaughn Bryan
The Tools: 7+ run; 6 potential glove; 5 potential hit; 6 potential power
What Happened in 2013: The raw 35th round talent showed a lot more on the field than some expected, and his physical electricity made him a much-talked-about sleeper to watch as he matures into a baseball player.
Strengths: Elite athleticism; good present strength; plus-plus run; covers a lot of ground in center; glove projects to plus; bat shows promise; good hip rotation and fluidity in the swing; has bat speed and power potential; work ethic is plus.
Weaknesses: Very raw; reads/routes need refinement in center; arm is below average; better stick from the right side; needs to improve left-hand swing; game power is more gaps than over the fence (at present); impact talent but a long way to go.
Overall Future Potential: High 6; first-division/all-star level player
Realistic Role: High 4; bench outfielder/below-average regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: High risk; limited professional experience; big questions about raw tools playing against better competition.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: This is a fun one. Someone who is undoubtedly unowned in your dynasty league, Bryan has tools to make fantasy owners drool. However, he’s forever away (both developmentally and chronologically) from turning this into production. But a potential 20+ homer, 40+ steal player? That makes his extreme risk worth it now in deeper leagues.
The Year Ahead: Bryan is a classic boom or bust prospect, a high-impact athlete who might not be able to turn that premium athleticism into usable baseball skills. He can run for days, so his range in center will be a weapon if he can refine his reads off the bat and his path to the ball. His arm has strength but plays below average at present, but has a chance to improve a bit through instruction. The swing is actually quite pretty, with good hips and hands, capable of generating plus bat speed from both sides of the plate. He needs a lot of work and this ranking might be a year premature, but the physical characteristics are hard to ignore, and if he can take a step forward in 2014, he has the potential to develop into a significant prospect.
Major league ETA: 2017
10. Vaughn Bryan
The Tools: 7+ run; 6 potential glove; 5 potential hit; 6 potential power
What Happened in 2013: The raw 35th round talent showed a lot more on the field than some expected, and his physical electricity made him a much-talked-about sleeper to watch as he matures into a baseball player.
Strengths: Elite athleticism; good present strength; plus-plus run; covers a lot of ground in center; glove projects to plus; bat shows promise; good hip rotation and fluidity in the swing; has bat speed and power potential; work ethic is plus.
Weaknesses: Very raw; reads/routes need refinement in center; arm is below average; better stick from the right side; needs to improve left-hand swing; game power is more gaps than over the fence (at present); impact talent but a long way to go.
Overall Future Potential: High 6; first-division/all-star level player
Realistic Role: High 4; bench outfielder/below-average regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: High risk; limited professional experience; big questions about raw tools playing against better competition.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: This is a fun one. Someone who is undoubtedly unowned in your dynasty league, Bryan has tools to make fantasy owners drool. However, he’s forever away (both developmentally and chronologically) from turning this into production. But a potential 20+ homer, 40+ steal player? That makes his extreme risk worth it now in deeper leagues.
The Year Ahead: Bryan is a classic boom or bust prospect, a high-impact athlete who might not be able to turn that premium athleticism into usable baseball skills. He can run for days, so his range in center will be a weapon if he can refine his reads off the bat and his path to the ball. His arm has strength but plays below average at present, but has a chance to improve a bit through instruction. The swing is actually quite pretty, with good hips and hands, capable of generating plus bat speed from both sides of the plate. He needs a lot of work and this ranking might be a year premature, but the physical characteristics are hard to ignore, and if he can take a step forward in 2014, he has the potential to develop into a significant prospect.
Major league ETA: 2017
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Braves Top 10:
#5 J.R. Graham | 55/AA (P)
The Year in Review: Graham was off to an inconsistent start to the 2013 season when a bum shoulder ended his year in mid-May. Before he went down, though, he showed excellent ground-ball numbers and didn’t allow a home run in 35.2 innings.
The Scouting Report: Graham is a wild card. He suffered a fairly serious shoulder injury in 2013 but decided on rehab over major surgery. It remains to be seen A) How his stuff bounces back, and B) How long his body holds up. He’s not a huge guy but he generates fastball velocity into the 95-96 mph rang. Graham also has a slider and a changeup but he heavily favors the ground-ball-inducing heater.
The Year Ahead: The key for Graham is to hold up over the course of a full season, and he may have to return to Double-A for a third go-around.
The Career Outlook: There were always concerns that his future role was as a reliever and the injury will only help further that belief.
#5 J.R. Graham | 55/AA (P)
The Year in Review: Graham was off to an inconsistent start to the 2013 season when a bum shoulder ended his year in mid-May. Before he went down, though, he showed excellent ground-ball numbers and didn’t allow a home run in 35.2 innings.
The Scouting Report: Graham is a wild card. He suffered a fairly serious shoulder injury in 2013 but decided on rehab over major surgery. It remains to be seen A) How his stuff bounces back, and B) How long his body holds up. He’s not a huge guy but he generates fastball velocity into the 95-96 mph rang. Graham also has a slider and a changeup but he heavily favors the ground-ball-inducing heater.
The Year Ahead: The key for Graham is to hold up over the course of a full season, and he may have to return to Double-A for a third go-around.
The Career Outlook: There were always concerns that his future role was as a reliever and the injury will only help further that belief.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Nats BP Top 10:
5. Jake Johansen
The Tools: 7FB; 6+ potential SL
What Happened in 2013: Despite an uneven amateur career, Johansen was selected in the second round of the 2013 draft, and made 12 starts across two levels after signing.
Strengths: Huge size; excellent present strength; physical and intimidating on the mound; elite arm strength; fastball works in the mid-upper 90s; leveraged offering with weight; plus-plus offering; hard slider is second plus offering; sharp with late-glove side slice.
Weaknesses: Despite size and stuff, can lack confidence on the mound; command is fringe at present; can work up in the zone and lose size advantage; changeup is below average at present; overthrows the pitch with more deliberate mechanics; shows fringe curveball; can get too loose and loopy.
Overall Future Potential: 6; no. 3 starter
Realistic Role: 5; late-innings reliever (setup)
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; limited professional experience; 23 years old with two plus pitches
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Johansen may have the upside of a starting pitcher, but there’s a very high probability that he will end up as a reliever. Of course, a reliever with two pitches of this quality would be one that matters for fantasy, it’s just that the bullpen is not where you should be spending your minor-league roster spots.
The Year Ahead: Johansen is a power arm with a power build, but at the end of the day its probably more of a late-inning profile than a workhorse starter. The 23-year-old is behind the developmental curve, so you can expect to see an accelerated timetable going forward, and with only average pitchability and a fringe changeup, the big Texan might end up in the bullpen before he arrives at the major league level. But even out of the ‘pen, Johansen is going to be a weapon, with a plus-plus fastball and hard slider, both pitches capable of missing bats and barrels alike.
Major league ETA: Late 2015
7. Matt Skole
The Tools: 6+ power potential; 5 potential hit; 5+ arm
What Happened in 2013: A lost year for the former fifth round pick, as an early-season collision fractured his wrist AND damaged his elbow to the point that Tommy John surgery was required.
Strengths: Big raw power; shows bat speed and the ability to lift the ball; makes pitchers work; can discern balls and strikes and will wait for his pitch; game power could play to plus; strong against right-handed pitching; run producer; arm is average.
Weaknesses: Limited defensive profile; below average at third; hit tool lacks big projection; likely to play average or below; struggles against quality arm-side stuff; can bust him inside with velocity; well below-average run.
Overall Future Potential: 5; major league regular
Realistic Role: High 4; platoon bat/below-average regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; limited experience in the upper minors; wrist/elbow (TJ) injury in 2013.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Skole is far more interesting from a fantasy perspective than in real life because if he is able to be a .270 hitter with 20-25 homers, he’ll be owned in nearly all leagues, regardless of eligibility. Until then, he’ll just have to settle for being Craig Goldstein’s favorite player.
The Year Ahead: Skole projects to hit for power from the left side of the plate, and that alone makes him a top 10 prospect, despite his limitations on defense and a lost season in 2013 that put the 24-year-old behind the developmental curve. At the end of the day, Skole might not be more than a platoon bat at first with enough versatility to play a below-average third base in a pinch, but if he can return to form and continue to rip right-handed pitching, he’s going to end playing at the major league level for a long time. I expect Skole to step forward at the Double-A level in 2014, likely showing power to go along with a strong approach, and positioning himself for a major-league opportunity in some form in 2015.
Major league ETA: 2015
Factors on the Farm (Prospects likely to contribute at the ML level in 2014)
3. OF Eury Perez: You can make a case that Perez belongs in the top 10 based on his defensive profile in center and his easy plus speed, which gives him impressive range in the field and a weapon in the box and on base. Several sources questioned the utility of Perez’s hit tool, seeing more of a bench profile than a regular, and those doubts helped push him off the initial list, and could eventually prove prophetic and push him out of the Nationals’ long-term plans in center. It’s a crowded outfield at present, and with higher ceiling forces like Brian Goodwin and Michael Taylor on the rise in the minors, Perez needs to make the most of his opportunities in 2014 and step forward with the bat in order to stay on the radar.
5. Jake Johansen
The Tools: 7FB; 6+ potential SL
What Happened in 2013: Despite an uneven amateur career, Johansen was selected in the second round of the 2013 draft, and made 12 starts across two levels after signing.
Strengths: Huge size; excellent present strength; physical and intimidating on the mound; elite arm strength; fastball works in the mid-upper 90s; leveraged offering with weight; plus-plus offering; hard slider is second plus offering; sharp with late-glove side slice.
Weaknesses: Despite size and stuff, can lack confidence on the mound; command is fringe at present; can work up in the zone and lose size advantage; changeup is below average at present; overthrows the pitch with more deliberate mechanics; shows fringe curveball; can get too loose and loopy.
Overall Future Potential: 6; no. 3 starter
Realistic Role: 5; late-innings reliever (setup)
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; limited professional experience; 23 years old with two plus pitches
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Johansen may have the upside of a starting pitcher, but there’s a very high probability that he will end up as a reliever. Of course, a reliever with two pitches of this quality would be one that matters for fantasy, it’s just that the bullpen is not where you should be spending your minor-league roster spots.
The Year Ahead: Johansen is a power arm with a power build, but at the end of the day its probably more of a late-inning profile than a workhorse starter. The 23-year-old is behind the developmental curve, so you can expect to see an accelerated timetable going forward, and with only average pitchability and a fringe changeup, the big Texan might end up in the bullpen before he arrives at the major league level. But even out of the ‘pen, Johansen is going to be a weapon, with a plus-plus fastball and hard slider, both pitches capable of missing bats and barrels alike.
Major league ETA: Late 2015
7. Matt Skole
The Tools: 6+ power potential; 5 potential hit; 5+ arm
What Happened in 2013: A lost year for the former fifth round pick, as an early-season collision fractured his wrist AND damaged his elbow to the point that Tommy John surgery was required.
Strengths: Big raw power; shows bat speed and the ability to lift the ball; makes pitchers work; can discern balls and strikes and will wait for his pitch; game power could play to plus; strong against right-handed pitching; run producer; arm is average.
Weaknesses: Limited defensive profile; below average at third; hit tool lacks big projection; likely to play average or below; struggles against quality arm-side stuff; can bust him inside with velocity; well below-average run.
Overall Future Potential: 5; major league regular
Realistic Role: High 4; platoon bat/below-average regular
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; limited experience in the upper minors; wrist/elbow (TJ) injury in 2013.
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Skole is far more interesting from a fantasy perspective than in real life because if he is able to be a .270 hitter with 20-25 homers, he’ll be owned in nearly all leagues, regardless of eligibility. Until then, he’ll just have to settle for being Craig Goldstein’s favorite player.
The Year Ahead: Skole projects to hit for power from the left side of the plate, and that alone makes him a top 10 prospect, despite his limitations on defense and a lost season in 2013 that put the 24-year-old behind the developmental curve. At the end of the day, Skole might not be more than a platoon bat at first with enough versatility to play a below-average third base in a pinch, but if he can return to form and continue to rip right-handed pitching, he’s going to end playing at the major league level for a long time. I expect Skole to step forward at the Double-A level in 2014, likely showing power to go along with a strong approach, and positioning himself for a major-league opportunity in some form in 2015.
Major league ETA: 2015
Factors on the Farm (Prospects likely to contribute at the ML level in 2014)
3. OF Eury Perez: You can make a case that Perez belongs in the top 10 based on his defensive profile in center and his easy plus speed, which gives him impressive range in the field and a weapon in the box and on base. Several sources questioned the utility of Perez’s hit tool, seeing more of a bench profile than a regular, and those doubts helped push him off the initial list, and could eventually prove prophetic and push him out of the Nationals’ long-term plans in center. It’s a crowded outfield at present, and with higher ceiling forces like Brian Goodwin and Michael Taylor on the rise in the minors, Perez needs to make the most of his opportunities in 2014 and step forward with the bat in order to stay on the radar.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Red Sox Top 10:
#9 Allen Webster | 60/ MLB (P)
The Year in Review: Webster made his long-awaited MLB debut in his six pro season but was bounced around due to a lack of command and control. He allowed 18 walks and 37 hits in 30.1 innings. In 21 Triple-A starts, Webster produced a solid ground ball rate and struck out 116 batters in 105.0 innings.
The Scouting Report: A starter for most of his career, Webster’s command and control issues may prevent him from realizing his full potential as a starter. However, he’s flashed significant promise during brief stints in the bullpen. With mid-to-high 90s velocity, the right-hander can be down right dominant when he commands it — and especially when he’s also throwing his changeup and breaking ball for strikes. His ground-ball tendencies add significant value.
The Year Ahead: Webster has a shot at beating out Felix Doubront for the fifth starter’s role but, more than likely, he’ll head back to Triple-A and may be the first starting pitcher recalled in the event of an injury or demotion.
The Career Outlook: Webster’s future may lie in the bullpen if he cannot add the necessary polish to his game, but he could develop into a dominant, late-game reliever.
#9 Allen Webster | 60/ MLB (P)
The Year in Review: Webster made his long-awaited MLB debut in his six pro season but was bounced around due to a lack of command and control. He allowed 18 walks and 37 hits in 30.1 innings. In 21 Triple-A starts, Webster produced a solid ground ball rate and struck out 116 batters in 105.0 innings.
The Scouting Report: A starter for most of his career, Webster’s command and control issues may prevent him from realizing his full potential as a starter. However, he’s flashed significant promise during brief stints in the bullpen. With mid-to-high 90s velocity, the right-hander can be down right dominant when he commands it — and especially when he’s also throwing his changeup and breaking ball for strikes. His ground-ball tendencies add significant value.
The Year Ahead: Webster has a shot at beating out Felix Doubront for the fifth starter’s role but, more than likely, he’ll head back to Triple-A and may be the first starting pitcher recalled in the event of an injury or demotion.
The Career Outlook: Webster’s future may lie in the bullpen if he cannot add the necessary polish to his game, but he could develop into a dominant, late-game reliever.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Nice take on Graham...not a lot to disagree with...
Braves BP Top 10:
4. J.R Graham
The Tools: 7 FB; 6 SL; 5 potential CH
What Happened in 2013: In his return trip to Double-A, Graham was looking the part before a shoulder injury shut him down and sent his prospect status into a tailspin.
Strengths: Short but incredibly strong; balanced on the mound; holds his stuff deep into games; clean arm action; multiple fastball looks; pushes four-seamer easy into mid-90s; two-seamer shows very heavy life in the 93-94 range; plus-plus offering; slider is plus offering; thrown in the upper-80s and touching 90; late-sharp dart to the glove side; changeup is solid-average in the 86-89 range; good late life; strong feel for command; highly competitive and aggressive approach.
Weaknesses: Lacks height and has to work down to create angle; struggles when he works up in the zone; loses movement and is hitable; slider can lack big depth; more cutter-like in the upper 80s without big tilt; changeup can get too firm in the 88-90 range; sinks but not as effective as two-seamer.
Overall Future Potential: 6; no. 3 starter
Realistic Role: 5; late-innings reliever (setup)
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; Double-A experience; shoulder injury on resume (2013)
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There are a few philosophies that I stand behind in making decisions for fantasy purposes, and one of them is never put much faith in a pitcher with a shoulder injury. Of course, the long-term ramifications of Graham’s injury are to be determined, but tread carefully, as he’s a likely ‘pen candidate in the long run anyway.
The Year Ahead: Everybody is worried about the shoulder, and with good reason. But a healthy Graham (and reports suggest he is fully recovered from the shoulder injury of 2013) is an impact arm that several sources think can be an effective mid-rotation starter despite limited height. What the 24-year-old lacks in height he makes up for with strength and intensity, as Graham will batter you with heavy fastballs in the lower zone and then elevate his hard cut-slider and dare you to match the barrel to it. Assuming health, he’s a no doubt late-innings arm as a floor, as he can sit in the mid-90s and touch 97+ in bursts with the knockout slider that can be quite effective missing bats and barrels in the upper 80s. But he can hold his stuff deep into games and has the command and pitchability to start, so if he can stay on the mound, his prospect stock should return to previous levels. But the shoulder injury that spoiled his 2013 season will continue to be talked about until he proves [on the mound] that it is no longer worth talking about.
Major league ETA: 2014
Braves BP Top 10:
4. J.R Graham
The Tools: 7 FB; 6 SL; 5 potential CH
What Happened in 2013: In his return trip to Double-A, Graham was looking the part before a shoulder injury shut him down and sent his prospect status into a tailspin.
Strengths: Short but incredibly strong; balanced on the mound; holds his stuff deep into games; clean arm action; multiple fastball looks; pushes four-seamer easy into mid-90s; two-seamer shows very heavy life in the 93-94 range; plus-plus offering; slider is plus offering; thrown in the upper-80s and touching 90; late-sharp dart to the glove side; changeup is solid-average in the 86-89 range; good late life; strong feel for command; highly competitive and aggressive approach.
Weaknesses: Lacks height and has to work down to create angle; struggles when he works up in the zone; loses movement and is hitable; slider can lack big depth; more cutter-like in the upper 80s without big tilt; changeup can get too firm in the 88-90 range; sinks but not as effective as two-seamer.
Overall Future Potential: 6; no. 3 starter
Realistic Role: 5; late-innings reliever (setup)
Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; Double-A experience; shoulder injury on resume (2013)
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There are a few philosophies that I stand behind in making decisions for fantasy purposes, and one of them is never put much faith in a pitcher with a shoulder injury. Of course, the long-term ramifications of Graham’s injury are to be determined, but tread carefully, as he’s a likely ‘pen candidate in the long run anyway.
The Year Ahead: Everybody is worried about the shoulder, and with good reason. But a healthy Graham (and reports suggest he is fully recovered from the shoulder injury of 2013) is an impact arm that several sources think can be an effective mid-rotation starter despite limited height. What the 24-year-old lacks in height he makes up for with strength and intensity, as Graham will batter you with heavy fastballs in the lower zone and then elevate his hard cut-slider and dare you to match the barrel to it. Assuming health, he’s a no doubt late-innings arm as a floor, as he can sit in the mid-90s and touch 97+ in bursts with the knockout slider that can be quite effective missing bats and barrels in the upper 80s. But he can hold his stuff deep into games and has the command and pitchability to start, so if he can stay on the mound, his prospect stock should return to previous levels. But the shoulder injury that spoiled his 2013 season will continue to be talked about until he proves [on the mound] that it is no longer worth talking about.
Major league ETA: 2014
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
FanGraphs Pirates Top 10:
#7 Reese McGuire | 55/R (C/DH)
The Year in Review: McGuire’s glove was highly-coveted as a draft-eligible prospect in 2013 — and it helped make him a first round draft pick — but he had unexpected success with the bat during his pro debut. Playing in Rookie ball, the young backstop hit .330 and struck out just 18 times in 46 games. He earned a late-season promotion to the New York Penn League where he appeared in five games.
The Scouting Report: As mentioned above, McGuire’s defense is his meal ticket. He calls a strong game, is a natural leader and receives the ball well. He also has a strong arm and isn’t afraid to get dirty and block pitches. At the plate, he showed a better-than-expected approach with above-average contact. He still has room to improve his swing to generate more pop, although he may never be a home run hitter. McGuire needs more experience against good left-handed pitching.
The Year Ahead: McGuire’s early success should allow him open the 2014 season in full-season ball — unless he completely falls apart this spring. Expect him to spent most, if not all, of the year in Low-A ball.
The Career Outlook: McGuire plays defense well enough to make the Majors on that alone so any offense, really, is icing on the cake. If the catcher keeps hitting, the Pirates could have something really special.
#8 Josh Bell | 55/A (DH/OF)
The Year in Review: Signed for a whopping $5 million bonus back in 2011 as a prep outfielder out of Texas, Bell returned to Low-A ball in 2013 after missing almost all of ’12 due to injury. He produced a solid season with an .806 OPS. He did a nice job of getting on base and showed developing power with 12 home runs and 37 doubles.
The Scouting Report: The 21-year-old outfielder is a big kid and has the raw power to eventually hit 20+ home runs in a full season. Right now, though, he showcases more gap power in game situations. He has a strong eye at the plate and shows a willingness to work the count. He’s a switch-hitter who’s a little bit stronger from the left side of the plate. In the field, Bell shows a strong arm but just average range; he should profile OK in right field.
The Year Ahead: Bell will move up to High-A ball but likely will only need half a season of at-bats before moving up to Double-A.
The Career Outlook: The outfield prospect lost some momentum in 2012 due to the injury but he could make up for lost time with a strong season in 2014. He the raw talent to develop into an above-average corner outfielder.
15. Jaff Decker, 1B: Acquired from San Diego in late 2013, a change in scenery may due wonders for the prospect as he enters his seventh pro season. Decker, 24, doesn’t have a huge ceiling but he should have value as a solid left-handed bat off the bench or platoon first baseman. He produces high on-base percentages due to a strong eye at the plate but, at times, he’s too passive for his own good.
#7 Reese McGuire | 55/R (C/DH)
The Year in Review: McGuire’s glove was highly-coveted as a draft-eligible prospect in 2013 — and it helped make him a first round draft pick — but he had unexpected success with the bat during his pro debut. Playing in Rookie ball, the young backstop hit .330 and struck out just 18 times in 46 games. He earned a late-season promotion to the New York Penn League where he appeared in five games.
The Scouting Report: As mentioned above, McGuire’s defense is his meal ticket. He calls a strong game, is a natural leader and receives the ball well. He also has a strong arm and isn’t afraid to get dirty and block pitches. At the plate, he showed a better-than-expected approach with above-average contact. He still has room to improve his swing to generate more pop, although he may never be a home run hitter. McGuire needs more experience against good left-handed pitching.
The Year Ahead: McGuire’s early success should allow him open the 2014 season in full-season ball — unless he completely falls apart this spring. Expect him to spent most, if not all, of the year in Low-A ball.
The Career Outlook: McGuire plays defense well enough to make the Majors on that alone so any offense, really, is icing on the cake. If the catcher keeps hitting, the Pirates could have something really special.
#8 Josh Bell | 55/A (DH/OF)
The Year in Review: Signed for a whopping $5 million bonus back in 2011 as a prep outfielder out of Texas, Bell returned to Low-A ball in 2013 after missing almost all of ’12 due to injury. He produced a solid season with an .806 OPS. He did a nice job of getting on base and showed developing power with 12 home runs and 37 doubles.
The Scouting Report: The 21-year-old outfielder is a big kid and has the raw power to eventually hit 20+ home runs in a full season. Right now, though, he showcases more gap power in game situations. He has a strong eye at the plate and shows a willingness to work the count. He’s a switch-hitter who’s a little bit stronger from the left side of the plate. In the field, Bell shows a strong arm but just average range; he should profile OK in right field.
The Year Ahead: Bell will move up to High-A ball but likely will only need half a season of at-bats before moving up to Double-A.
The Career Outlook: The outfield prospect lost some momentum in 2012 due to the injury but he could make up for lost time with a strong season in 2014. He the raw talent to develop into an above-average corner outfielder.
15. Jaff Decker, 1B: Acquired from San Diego in late 2013, a change in scenery may due wonders for the prospect as he enters his seventh pro season. Decker, 24, doesn’t have a huge ceiling but he should have value as a solid left-handed bat off the bench or platoon first baseman. He produces high on-base percentages due to a strong eye at the plate but, at times, he’s too passive for his own good.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
A's FanGraphs Top 10:
#1 Addison Russell | 65/AA (SS)
The Year in Review: Russell opened the year as a 19-year-old shortstop in High-A ball and, after a short adjustment period, hit very well. He produced a solid average and good power while also displaying a keen eye and speed. He earned a one-game trial at the Triple-A level and also played in the Arizona Fall League as one of the younger prospects invited.
The Scouting Report: Russell can do a little bit of everything. His approach at the plate — including using the whole field — and quick bat should allow him to hit for a strong average in the Majors while also producing average or better power. He has a solid eye and isn’t afraid to take a walk. When he gets on base, he has the above-average speed to make the pitcher pay. In the field, he has excellent actions, good range and a solid arm.
The Year Ahead: Russell should open the 2014 season in Double-A but could very well reach Triple-A in the second half of the year. Expect him to make his MLB debut in 2015.
The Career Outlook: If he keeps developing as expected, Russell could eventually develop into a 20-20 threat at the plate while playing above-average defense.
#1 Addison Russell | 65/AA (SS)
The Year in Review: Russell opened the year as a 19-year-old shortstop in High-A ball and, after a short adjustment period, hit very well. He produced a solid average and good power while also displaying a keen eye and speed. He earned a one-game trial at the Triple-A level and also played in the Arizona Fall League as one of the younger prospects invited.
The Scouting Report: Russell can do a little bit of everything. His approach at the plate — including using the whole field — and quick bat should allow him to hit for a strong average in the Majors while also producing average or better power. He has a solid eye and isn’t afraid to take a walk. When he gets on base, he has the above-average speed to make the pitcher pay. In the field, he has excellent actions, good range and a solid arm.
The Year Ahead: Russell should open the 2014 season in Double-A but could very well reach Triple-A in the second half of the year. Expect him to make his MLB debut in 2015.
The Career Outlook: If he keeps developing as expected, Russell could eventually develop into a 20-20 threat at the plate while playing above-average defense.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Nats FanGraphs Top 10:
#10 Matt Skole | 50/AA (3B)
The Year in Review: Skole appeared poised for a big 2013 season but his campaign ended after just two games when he suffered a serious elbow injury that led to Tommy John surgery on his non-throwing arm. He returned in time for the Arizona Fall League but was out-of-synch and hit just .184 with 18 strikeouts in 15 games.
The Scouting Report: The Georgia Tech alum has plus power from the left side of the plate and could eventually slug 20+ home runs in the Majors. He also has a good eye and produces strong on-base percentage thanks to high walk totals. His pull-heavy approach leads to high strikeout rates and he may not hit more than .250-.260 in the Majors. Defensively, Skole can handle third base but his range is fringe-average. He picked up first base quite quickly and looks like he could develop into an above-average fielder at that position.
The Year Ahead: Now 24, the lost development time definitely hurt Skole but a hot start to the 2014 season could allow him to split the year between Double-A and Triple-A with an eye on the Majors for the following campaign.
The Career Outlook: If he can make a little more contact, Skole could emerge as an average big league first baseman.
12. Jake Johansen, RHP: A starter in college, Johansen may be better suited to the bullpen. He has a power fastball that works in the mid 90s but can touch the upper 90s. All of his secondary offerings — curveball, slider, changeup — are fringe-average or worse right now so he might be better off dropping a pitch or two. He needs to improve both his command and his control.
#10 Matt Skole | 50/AA (3B)
The Year in Review: Skole appeared poised for a big 2013 season but his campaign ended after just two games when he suffered a serious elbow injury that led to Tommy John surgery on his non-throwing arm. He returned in time for the Arizona Fall League but was out-of-synch and hit just .184 with 18 strikeouts in 15 games.
The Scouting Report: The Georgia Tech alum has plus power from the left side of the plate and could eventually slug 20+ home runs in the Majors. He also has a good eye and produces strong on-base percentage thanks to high walk totals. His pull-heavy approach leads to high strikeout rates and he may not hit more than .250-.260 in the Majors. Defensively, Skole can handle third base but his range is fringe-average. He picked up first base quite quickly and looks like he could develop into an above-average fielder at that position.
The Year Ahead: Now 24, the lost development time definitely hurt Skole but a hot start to the 2014 season could allow him to split the year between Double-A and Triple-A with an eye on the Majors for the following campaign.
The Career Outlook: If he can make a little more contact, Skole could emerge as an average big league first baseman.
12. Jake Johansen, RHP: A starter in college, Johansen may be better suited to the bullpen. He has a power fastball that works in the mid 90s but can touch the upper 90s. All of his secondary offerings — curveball, slider, changeup — are fringe-average or worse right now so he might be better off dropping a pitch or two. He needs to improve both his command and his control.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Going to cut down on the writings (as you can already tell), but do want to highlight some people some times...and why not start with a newer addition:
(3/14) Zach Eflin (Padres)
Eflin stands out the second he steps on the field, owning a long, lean frame. He has surprising control over his length and the control/command profile is better than you might think of a player with his build and necessary growth; flashing the potential for at least average command. He pitches from a fairly typical 3/4 arm slot and glides down the mound with little evidence of significant drive toward the plate. He generates easy velocity, sitting in the 90-92 mph range over three innings and touching 94 mph when he elevated a few times. The breaking ball was short and lacked consistent bite, but the changeup has plus potential down the line. Eflin has room for physical maturation and could see a velocity bump into the 94-95 range consistently once the strength arrives and he learns to use that strength during his delivery. There's still work to be done here, but in a three-inning stint it was easy to see Eflin with a mid-rotation future. –Mark Anderson
(3/14) Zach Eflin (Padres)
Eflin stands out the second he steps on the field, owning a long, lean frame. He has surprising control over his length and the control/command profile is better than you might think of a player with his build and necessary growth; flashing the potential for at least average command. He pitches from a fairly typical 3/4 arm slot and glides down the mound with little evidence of significant drive toward the plate. He generates easy velocity, sitting in the 90-92 mph range over three innings and touching 94 mph when he elevated a few times. The breaking ball was short and lacked consistent bite, but the changeup has plus potential down the line. Eflin has room for physical maturation and could see a velocity bump into the 94-95 range consistently once the strength arrives and he learns to use that strength during his delivery. There's still work to be done here, but in a three-inning stint it was easy to see Eflin with a mid-rotation future. –Mark Anderson
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Stefen Romero had an ok/injury plagued 2013, after a breakout 2012...but opened a ton of eyes in the Mariners camp this spring and broke camp with the big club.
Missed this article, but seems timely after his 2-3 2nd game with the M's. Romero could be a pretty big sleeper if he can find a defensive home.
http://insider.espn.go.com/blog/mlb/rum ... api_public
Missed this article, but seems timely after his 2-3 2nd game with the M's. Romero could be a pretty big sleeper if he can find a defensive home.
http://insider.espn.go.com/blog/mlb/rum ... api_public
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
This felt fun to post...
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 11m
That's part of it. RT @HPJoker @ProfessorParks Is this because some people don't think Baez sticks at short?
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 12m
I polled 10 front office decision makers, and so far (w/ half of the votes in), Russell has more votes than Baez. This surprises me.
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 15m
Working on a "Poll the Industry" article about the top SS prospects in MilB and which one you would want to build a team around.
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 11m
That's part of it. RT @HPJoker @ProfessorParks Is this because some people don't think Baez sticks at short?
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 12m
I polled 10 front office decision makers, and so far (w/ half of the votes in), Russell has more votes than Baez. This surprises me.
Jason Parks ‏@ProfessorParks 15m
Working on a "Poll the Industry" article about the top SS prospects in MilB and which one you would want to build a team around.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
I made a very bold move for J.D. Martinez this past season, and it looked pretty foolish after a mediocre spring. However, with 5 homers in the last 2 days, Martinez has pushed his AAA total to 10 on the season, and is slashing .308/.366/.846 along with that.
Power is absolutely in Martinez' locker, and he had a terrific winter after making some adjustments in his swing. Spring is a small sample size, but so is early season. If the adjustments are real, we could have a monster on our hands...but he's got a long way to go.
Power is absolutely in Martinez' locker, and he had a terrific winter after making some adjustments in his swing. Spring is a small sample size, but so is early season. If the adjustments are real, we could have a monster on our hands...but he's got a long way to go.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
It may be time for a promotion. Vincent Velasquez is crushing HA Lancaster, which isn't exactly a pitcher's paradise. In 21 ip's, Velasquez has allowed 7 hits, 7 bb's, 23 k's, and sports a tidy 1.29 era. He was a fringe Top 100 prospect before the season, after a mini-breakout in 2013, and he could put himself firmly on that list if the development continues.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Jed Bradley's stuff has never been questioned. His command and ability to miss bats sure has, though. That may be changing, though, after his 3rd consecutive strong start at HA Brevard County.
After getting roughed up in his opening start, Bradley has allowed 2 runs in 17 ip's, striking out 16...but most importantly only allowing 12 base runners on 1 bb. Just improving his command would be a huge step forward, if the rest of the game falls into place, he could race up prospect charts.
After getting roughed up in his opening start, Bradley has allowed 2 runs in 17 ip's, striking out 16...but most importantly only allowing 12 base runners on 1 bb. Just improving his command would be a huge step forward, if the rest of the game falls into place, he could race up prospect charts.
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
Albert Almora, CF, Cubs (High-A Daytona)
After taking in Daytona's series against Bradenton, I came away impressed with Almora—even though he didn't rake like he has lately, there was still plenty to like. At the plate he's patiently aggressive: Almora knows where he wants the ball and when he sees a pitch in his zone he lets his bat eat. The bat speed is above-average and his swing gets into the zone quickly and stays level. There aren’t a lot of moving parts before the swing. His stance is open and sports excellent balance. His hands and head are very quiet throughout the entire swing. His pitch recognition skills are advanced. This kid is able to recognize spin quickly, which allows him to make some very nice in-bat adjustments. Throughout the entire series he only had one bad at-bat, which came against another top prospect, Tyler Glasnow. Almora chased three elevated fastballs at the letters or higher—pitches he had no shot at catching up to. It was rare to see him get that aggressive at pitches out of his zone.
He's got an athletic frame that has room to add more muscle. He is an average runner and this has some questioning his future ability to stay in center. From what I saw, I think there is a legit chance he can stick there. What he lacks in natural speed, he makes up for with excellent reads off the bat and sound routes to the ball. There were a few balls smoked into the gaps that he was able to cut off, holding the batter to long singles. Almora's arm also impressed. He unleashed an absolute laser from the right center gap on a line to home plate. His release was quick and the throw was not only of the plus variety, but accurate too. Overall, he's a fun kid to watch. –Chris King
After taking in Daytona's series against Bradenton, I came away impressed with Almora—even though he didn't rake like he has lately, there was still plenty to like. At the plate he's patiently aggressive: Almora knows where he wants the ball and when he sees a pitch in his zone he lets his bat eat. The bat speed is above-average and his swing gets into the zone quickly and stays level. There aren’t a lot of moving parts before the swing. His stance is open and sports excellent balance. His hands and head are very quiet throughout the entire swing. His pitch recognition skills are advanced. This kid is able to recognize spin quickly, which allows him to make some very nice in-bat adjustments. Throughout the entire series he only had one bad at-bat, which came against another top prospect, Tyler Glasnow. Almora chased three elevated fastballs at the letters or higher—pitches he had no shot at catching up to. It was rare to see him get that aggressive at pitches out of his zone.
He's got an athletic frame that has room to add more muscle. He is an average runner and this has some questioning his future ability to stay in center. From what I saw, I think there is a legit chance he can stick there. What he lacks in natural speed, he makes up for with excellent reads off the bat and sound routes to the ball. There were a few balls smoked into the gaps that he was able to cut off, holding the batter to long singles. Almora's arm also impressed. He unleashed an absolute laser from the right center gap on a line to home plate. His release was quick and the throw was not only of the plus variety, but accurate too. Overall, he's a fun kid to watch. –Chris King
-
Yankees
- Posts: 4540
- Joined: Fri Jan 31, 2003 1:00 am
- Location: Fulshear, TX
- Name: Brett Zalaski
- Contact:
While certainly not a baby in age, Collin McHugh has performed like a man at the MLB level this year. Despite reports with good stuff, and a minor league career that featured a 3.36 era, 1.26 whip, and 8.7 k/9 line, McHugh's sheen was tempered by getting lit up in his first two runs at the MLB.
2014 is a completely different story. Attacking hitters instead of pitching around them, McHugh has hit the 45 ip mark...and the results have been outstanding. He's 3-3 on a bad Astros team, but has a 2.80 era, 2.63 fip, 0.98 whip, and 10 k's/9. Having watched his last outing, the stuff seems slightly above average, but the command (even in late innings) was very good.
The league crushed McHugh, McHugh adjusted to the league. The league will adjust back...will McHugh stay ahead of the curve?
2014 is a completely different story. Attacking hitters instead of pitching around them, McHugh has hit the 45 ip mark...and the results have been outstanding. He's 3-3 on a bad Astros team, but has a 2.80 era, 2.63 fip, 0.98 whip, and 10 k's/9. Having watched his last outing, the stuff seems slightly above average, but the command (even in late innings) was very good.
The league crushed McHugh, McHugh adjusted to the league. The league will adjust back...will McHugh stay ahead of the curve?
I've ended up watching a few McHugh starts. I really don't get it, but good for the Astros, and good for whoever gets him projection from you for a C-level prospect before spring training next year 
Your REIGNING AND DEFENDING #evenyear IBC CHAMPION
2015- #torture #evenyears 179-145
2006-2014 Gritty Gutty A's 828-631
2005 Texas Rangers 65-97
Total: 1072-873 .551
2015- #torture #evenyears 179-145
2006-2014 Gritty Gutty A's 828-631
2005 Texas Rangers 65-97
Total: 1072-873 .551
