Page 5 of 7

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2024 4:16 pm
by Padres
Ryan Clifford, OF, New York Mets (Double-A Binghamton): 4-5, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 HR, 3 RBI.

The bat-to-ball concerns that plagued him as an amateur returned post-trade last year and followed Clifford into 2024. He suffered through an abysmal first half, hitting just .202 for the first three months and seeing the strikeout rate climb to close to 30%. Signs of life have occasionally surfaced lately, though, with Clifford hitting safely in his last six games.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/pros ... proacheth/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Sat Jul 06, 2024 7:37 pm
by Padres
Lenyn Sosa, Chicago White Sox (35% rostered)

I talked about Sosa in my Lineup Lockdown piece Tuesday, so I’m doubling up a bit. The more I think about him, though, the more I think he needs to be given a serious look by infield-needy fantasy players.

In that piece, I noted that he’s received steady playing time in recent weeks. That’s true, but what I failed to mention was that Sosa has both third base and second base eligibility, giving him the ability to also fill in at corner infield and middle infield. That’s seriously valuable as injuries continue to crop up across the league.

I also thought it was interesting to revisit what lead prospect writer Jeffrey Paternostro wrote about Sosa roughly 19 months ago:

Sosa cleaned up the swing decision issues he had in A-ball in 2021 and started hitting for intriguing power in the upper minors last season. After hitting his way to the majors in the summer, he resumed chasing a bit too much during his two stints in the bigs. Sosa should smooth that issue out in time, but the power is more likely to be on the fringe side of average despite the gaudy 2022 home run totals, and he’s a better fit for second than anywhere else on the dirt. He can play three spots and hit a bit, so that should make him a useful bench piece at least, and if he keeps some of those power gains against major league arms, he could be a useful starter for a few years.

He’s continued to show those power gains at the Triple-A level since that writing, but it obviously hasn’t yet carried over to the majors. The fact that it’s in there, though—and that our prospect team found it intriguing—is enough for me to be interested.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fant ... 4-week-14/

Lenyn Sosa went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an RBI single during Thursday's 8-4 loss to Cleveland.

Sosa logged multiple hits for a fifth straight outing, saving the streak with a solo homer in the ninth inning off Nick Sandlin. The 24-year-old Sosa had gone yard only twice in his first 38 games, but he has matched that number during the hit streak. Sosa is slashing .252/.287/.392 over 151 plate appearances this season.

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseb ... s-red-hot/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Tue Jul 09, 2024 2:56 pm
by Padres
SP: Mason Adams, RHP, CHW, 24, AA

Adams fits the mold of an Austin Peterson type who is a bit older, but has been rather dominant. A 2022 13th-round out of Jacksonville, Adams spent 2023 between Single-A, High-A, and Double-A. Over 109 IP in 2023, Adams ran a 3.14 ERA, 3.39 xFIP, 27.2 percent strikeout rate, while walking just 6.3 percent of hitters. When he is not missing bats, Adams also does a good job keeping the ball on the ground.

This year, even more dominance as Adams has a 2.19 ERA across 86.1 innings this year with 88 strikeouts and 15 walks. He throws strikes at a 68 percent mark and while it is not a dominant arsenal, Adams misses enough bats to be successful.

It is a low-90s fastball, but the sinker works while he pairs it with a strong slider. He is a candidate to skip Triple-A and get starts in Chicago at some point this year.

https://www.thedynastydugout.com/p/pros ... l-buy-team

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Jul 10, 2024 11:12 am
by Padres
1B: Ryan Clifford, 1B, NYM, 20, AA

Clifford can mash, there are no questions about it and he has looked like a different hitter since joining Double-A. His stock fell considerably after 31 High-A games in which he hit just one home run. The slash over that span an abysmal .216/.412/.304 with a 31.6 percent strikeout rate.

Since the move to Double-A, Clifford has ten home runs in 44 games. He is lifting the ball much better and getting to his pull-side power with ease. Strikeouts are still a bit of an issue, checking in with a 27 percent clip in Double-A, but the power is good to see after he hit just one home run in 31 games in Brooklyn.

The contact rates have steadily improved all season and over the last month has trended upward and sitting around 75 percent. This is an encouraging sign after the very slow start to the season. Buy why people might still be down.

OF: Denzel Clarke, OF, OAK, 24, AA

Clarke took a hit in my prospect rankings this last update and I kind of regret that. If I had paid closer attention to what he had been doing as of late, that move might not have happened. The overall line of .248/.299/.455 with a 35 percent strikeout rate looks quite bad, but things are looking up. When you think of toolsy, upside-type players, Clarke checks many boxes, which is very similar to the Henry Bolte mold. He has a 6’4”/220 frame with plus raw power and plus speed.

So far this season Clarke has ten home runs and eight stolen bases. The issue, he has a sub-.300 OBP with a 35 percent strikeout rate. His contact rate sits at 62 percent which is a touch scary.

It is worth noting that since the start of June, Clarke has a .327/.346/.653 slash with just a 25 percent strikeout rate. In the process, he has seven home runs, and 16 extra-base hits over those 25 games. The contact rate has improved to 67 percent over that span, which is encouraging, but it is still lower than you would like to see.

https://www.thedynastydugout.com/p/pros ... -july-2024

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Thu Jul 11, 2024 8:54 am
by Padres
Ryan Clifford's introduction to Double-A in mid-June began with a 1-for-20 slump. But ever since the calendar flipped to July, MLB’s No. 71 prospect has been hard to keep off the bases.

That was the case in Double-A Binghamton’s 8-5 win over New Hampshire on Wednesday night at Delta Dental Stadium. The 20-year-old homered twice and drove in a career-high six runs on a 3-for-5 night. The Mets' No. 4 prospect has nine hits in his past 10 games, including seven extra-base hits in the last seven.

After driving in his first run on a double to right field in the second inning to tie the game, Clifford stepped up to the plate in the seventh with the bases loaded off Blue Jays righty Braydon Fisher and took a mighty swing. The ball carried well into center, but the North Carolina native wasn’t sure if he got enough of it.

The ball bounced above the top of the brick wall and was eventually ruled a home run. Clifford exhaled a sigh of relief as he trotted around the bases and reunited with his teammates at home plate as he gave Binghamton a three-run lead.

“I’ve been working some counts a little better,” he said. “Getting the two strikes and being able to pick up a couple knocks here and there just to give myself a fighting chance by getting my best swing off early, but also trying to do good damage.”

Clifford belted his 12th homer of the season off righty Juan Nunez in the ninth for his sixth RBI of the night. Even though it was a career night for the left-handed hitter, that wasn't his top priority.

“It's something cool to look back on maybe later,” Clifford said. “I'm not necessarily worried about night, tonight, trying to get more and more RBIs. For me at the end of the day, did we come out on top? Did we get a win?

“If I'm able to contribute to that offensively, great. If not, find a way to help out on defense. At the end of the day, we're looking to win the second half, so we've got to come out with some wins.”

Clifford’s turnaround has been a victory for the organization. He and Drew Gilbert, MLB’s No. 39 prospect, were part of the Mets' Trade Deadline acquisition last year that sent Justin Verlander to the Astros.

Gilbert’s transition to his new club was smooth as he hit .325 with an OPS of .984 with six homers and 21 RBIs at Double-A. Clifford slashed .188/.307/.376 with 51 strikeouts in 117 at-bats at High-A in his organizational debut. The struggles carried into 2024 with a .216/.412/.304 line back with Brooklyn, but he was bumped up to Double-A after 31 games.

“Sometimes going through a struggle like that can help propel you forward,” Clifford said.

And it has. The 2022 11th-round pick attributes his upswing to being able to read the fastball more while focusing on each at-bat like he's having an 0-for night.

With his performance trending upward, Clifford wants to continue making strides to ensure he is living up to the high expectations he’s felt since joining the organization.

“I feel like there's more of a spotlight on me at all times,” he said. “That pressure can really form you into an all-around complete player. Just making sure that you take care of all aspects of the game, it's been really fun. The support has been great, looking to keep it in that direction going forward.”

https://www.mlb.com/news/mets-prospect- ... e-coverage

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Mon Jul 15, 2024 1:26 pm
by Padres
A unique scouting video showcasing Fernando Perez led to the Blue Jays signing the talented righty for a $10,000 bonus, culminating in his selection for the Futures Game.

By the Numbers

Perez signed for a $10,000 bonus after showcasing his skills in a video with goats roaming in the outfield.
He logged 75 innings across 14 starts for Dunedin this season, with a 3.48 ERA, 1.013 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts.
His velocity has improved from 86-88 to 92-93 mph since signing with the Blue Jays.
The Blue Jays typically don't invest heavily in international pitching prospects, but smaller signings like Perez are adding depth to the system.

Yes, But

The success of Perez is crucial for the Blue Jays, given recent injuries to other pitching prospects, highlighting the organization's need for more promising developments like his.
State of Play

Perez's progress symbolizes a positive narrative amid challenges faced by the Blue Jays in their pitching development system.
The organization has historically been cautious with international pitching investments, making success stories like Perez's particularly significant.

What's Next

With Perez's work ethic and continuous development, the future looks promising for his potential growth and impact within the Blue Jays' pitching lineup.
Bottom Line

Amidst unconventional scouting circumstances, Perez's journey from an outfield filled with goats to the Futures Game highlights a remarkable development story important for the Blue Jays' pitching pipeline.

https://bvmsports.com/2024/07/13/toront ... selection/

Fernando Perez, RHP

TEAM: Blue Jays (Low-A Dunedin)
AGE: 20 B-T: R-R HT: 6-3 WT: 170
SOURCE: Nicaragua
HOW ACQUIRED: Signed by Blue Jays as international free agent, Jan. 15, 2022

BACKGROUND: Perez made headlines on the complex last year, as he pitched the bulk of a combined no-hitter. He’s continued to perform for Low-A Dunedin in 2024.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR: Perez won’t ‘wow’ you with his pure stuff, but he has a high level of pitchability and a plus changeup.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... -prospect/

Fernando Perez
, Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 0 K
FB: 91-93 CB: 75 SL: 82-84

Perez gave up a solo shot to Drake Baldwin on a 93-mph heater on the outer third of the plate, but he otherwise had a clean inning. He started off the next batter, Dylan Crews, with a get-me-over 75 mph curveball. His fastball sat in the low 90s and lacked above-average life, while his 82-84 mph slider lacked finish and backed up on him multiple times.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/scouting-th ... ures-game/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Thu Jul 18, 2024 1:39 pm
by Padres
According to Baseball America’s James Fegan, the White Sox are recalling INF prospect Brooks Baldwin from Triple-A Charlotte.

Baldwin started the year in Double-A and played only eight games in Triple-A before getting the opportunity with the big league club. In 82 games across those two levels, Baldwin hit .324/.391/.460 with eight home runs and 17 steals. He stole 22 bases last season and has a .284 career minor league batting average with just a 16 percent strikeout rate so he could be a decent source of average and speed in fantasy leagues. While Baldwin has played 2B, 3B, 1B, and OF, he played the vast majority of his games at SS this season, so it will be curious to see where the White Sox decide to play him. It had been assumed that Nick Senzel was signed to be the everyday third baseman, so perhaps Baldwin will push Nicky Lopez at second base until Paul Dejong is traded and the shortstop position opens up.

https://www.nbcsports.com/mlb/brooks-baldwin/243225

White Sox calling up Brooks Baldwin as roster reshaping continues

The White Sox are making use of that 40-man roster spot they opened by designating Martín Maldonado for assignment, and it’s not for Yoán Moncada.

A source confirmed Daryl Van Schouwen of the Sun-Times’ report that the White Sox are selecting the contract of infielder Brooks Baldwin from Triple-A Charlotte and adding him to the active roster ahead of this weekend’s series in Kansas City.

It’s a meteoric rise for Baldwin, a former small-conference college star and 12th-round pick who first broke out as a prospect in the second half of last season at High-A Winston-Salem, but has clearly been one of the best performers in the Sox minor league system for all of 2024. Baldwin has compiled a .324/.391/.460 batting line across Double-A and Triple-A, winning Southern League Player of the Month honors in April, and shrugging off a June swoon to hit the ground running since a midseason promotion to Charlotte. But he’s also only played just eight games at Triple-A, great as they were: two homers, three doubles, five walks, two strikeouts.

Baldwin will turn 24 next month, so the Sox are closer to the point of needing to start looking at what they have in him than some others, and both his minor league assignments this year have had him working around a first-round pick at shortstop anyway, which might be his best position. Pedro Grifol hinted at a coming youth movement after the All-Star break, and here it begins.

“Development in the minor leagues is extremely important, but the difference in the caliber of play between the minor leagues and the major leagues is significant,” said Grifol, who believes the gap has significantly widened since earlier in his career. “And sometimes you need to see these guys in this environment to be able to know how close they really are.”

While Baldwin’s bat and offensive results have gained him attention both publicly and from scouts this year, his polished defense, baserunning and situational baseball awareness has always drawn praise, and figure to offer him a higher floor to providing acceptable contributions, even if his bat needs an acclimation window. Intangibles and baseball know-how can read as cliches and we’ve all been misled before, but it’s consistently brought up for Baldwin.

“I would like to say that Brooks Baldwin, people don’t look at him enough,” said Colson Montgomery recently. “I would say he’s one of the best players in our organization, just how he goes about his business and being professional with the things he does. He plays the game the right way.”

“The best way to describe him is he just does winning things on the field,” said player development director Paul Janish earlier in the season. “There’s not a lot he can’t do. It’s not flashy. You’re going to see him more than you’re going to hear him. But so far this year, you couldn’t ask him to do more.”

“He has good instincts. He’s a baseball player,” Birmingham Barons manager Sergio Santos said in April. “When I first started seeing him, it was, you don’t take much notice, right? Because he’s not the biggest, he’s not the fastest, he doesn’t have the flashy stuff. But with him, what you get is consistency; him doing something everything single game. After a week and a half, two weeks, you notice. And then you start paying attention, and yeah, I think he’s just a complete ballplayer.”

It’s simultaneously a refreshing sight to see a player earn a series of merit-based promotions despite not being tabbed as a future core piece upon arrival in the organization. But Baldwin’s rise might be less easily repeated by top prospects that tend to be moved through the system very intentionally. After all, the Sox are not eschewing draft pick compensation by promoting Baldwin with too much time in the season left to be Rookie of the Year eligible in 2025.

Alongside Nick Senzel, Baldwin is part of a wave of change in an infield that was getting the worst OPS in baseball from their third basemen and the second-worst from their second sackers. Paul DeJong has rebounded to be one of the team’s most consistent sources of power at shortstop, but he knows more than anyone that likely will earn him a trip out of town in the next two weeks. With Danny Mendick was designated for assignment and another souring on Lenyn Sosa, the Sox had signaled their willingness to look at other parts of their infield depth.

And in a weird way, Baldwin in Chicago might wind up being a better way to return him to receiving regular reps at shortstop, rather than have him work his utilityman act around Montgomery at Charlotte, right after he had done it with Jacob Gonzalez in Birmingham. At the very least, he’s earned it.

https://soxmachine.com/2024/07/white-so ... continues/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2024 8:02 pm
by Padres
For fantasy managers who are desperate for starting pitching in redraft or in their dynasty league this year–Allan Winans (Braves) has been pitching quite well since June 1 with 42 strikeouts and only four walks in his last 41.1 innings. His 22.8% strikeout minus walk rate over that span is the seventh-highest among starting pitchers, behind such names as Shane Baz (Rays), Jeffrey Springs (Rays), David Festa (Twins), and Will Warren (Yankees). The stuff is still below-average, but the craftiness of his changeup-forward approach – his cambio gets whiffs and chases at a greater than 40% rate–might provide some reasonably cheap fantasy value if he returns to the Atlanta rotation, for example, to “control” Reynaldo Lopez’s workload through the dog days of summer.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... y-21-2024/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:33 am
by Padres
Brooks Baldwin started at second base in his first four Major League games -- at the Royals this past weekend and again at the Rangers on Monday night.

Baldwin (the White Sox No. 23 prospect, according to MLB Pipeline), can play across the infield, across the outfield and could even manage a few pitches behind the plate.

“I haven’t done it in a while,” Baldwin told MLB.com during the series in Kansas City. “It would take some time to get back used to it, if need be.”

Baldwin not only was a part-time catcher at Whiteville High School in North Carolina, but he was basically put there so he could work with the mound dominance of MacKenzie Gore. That’s right, the same Gore who has a 4.20 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 100 2/3 innings over 20 starts for the Nationals this season.

Gore and Baldwin have remained friends, and Gore texted words of congratulations to his onetime teammate before Baldwin singled two pitches into his Major League debut on Friday.

“He was excited, and he gave me his best wishes,” said Baldwin of Gore. “He actually pitched [Saturday] night on his bobblehead day, so that was cool.

“It was actually fairly easy. He was a guy in high school who threw pretty hard but knew where it was going. It wasn’t a really big challenge. In Little League, middle school, all the way up through, I had to catch every now and then. I grew up playing all over the field and behind the plate as well.”

Gore played alongside Baldwin in high school, and Michael Picollo was Baldwin’s roommate and teammate for almost three years at the University of North Carolina Wilmington. Picollo is one of the sons of Royals general manager J.J. Picollo, who was gracious enough to give Baldwin’s family and friends a suite at Kauffman Stadium for their memorable weekend in Kansas City.

Michael was in attendance, as well. He made the journey from Arizona -- where he was shadowing the Royals' staff in the Rookie-level Arizona Complex League -- with a little advanced notice from Baldwin.

“I was supposed to come back at the end of this week anyways,” the younger Picollo said. “But he texts me the other day and was like, ‘Hey, are you going to be in Kansas City this weekend?’ I was like, ‘Yeah, but I don’t know exactly when yet.’ I was trying to figure out a flight back.

“Then, I waited five minutes and asked, ‘Are you going to be in K.C. too?” Ended up moving up to Friday to try to get here. It’s pretty cool.”
Brooks Baldwin

Ten hitless at-bats with six strikeouts followed Baldwin’s opening 104.8 mph single to right field against Kansas City. But he drove in his first career run with a single in the fourth inning of Monday’s 4-3 loss to Texas. The 23-year-old rookie is too talented and has come so far so quickly to let a somewhat slow start knock him down.

As for that rookie part: Baldwin carries himself as a true professional. But he might be the youngest-looking Major League player in recent memory.

“Yeah, a lot of people ask me how old I am a lot,” Baldwin said. “When I tell them, they don’t really believe me.”

Baldwin also is quiet, according to Picollo, who said Baldwin’s college nickname was the "silent assassin."

“His game just speaks for itself. He’s extremely humble,” Picollo said. “Super nice, always a great teammate. And just kind of like one of those guys who led by example and did things the right way.

“He’s probably one of, if not the most, skilled players I’ve ever played with. Knew how to handle his business and always treated it like he was going to be here at some point in time.”

https://links.mlb.mlbemail.com/e/evib?_ ... cylQ%3D%3D

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 9:41 am
by Padres
1. Jacob Melton, CF

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2022 from Oregon St (HOU)
Age 23.8
Height 6′ 3″ Weight 208
Bat / Thr L / L
FV 50

Tool Grades (Present/Future)

Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/45 65/65 45/60 55/55 45/45 40

Even though he hit .364/.428/.660 throughout his career at Oregon State, Melton was one of the toolsy, enigmatic college outfielders in the 2022 draft whose swing made scouts worried about whether they’d actually hit in pro ball. Here at FanGraphs, we took the under and had a late-second/early-third round grade on him. In 2023, his first full pro season, Melton slashed .245/.334/.467 with 23 homers while going 46-for-53 in stolen base attempts. His 2024 was off to a very good start at Double-A Corpus Christi (especially from a contact standpoint) when Melton was shut down with a wrist issue a couple of weeks before list publication.

Melton has plus raw power and hits the ball hard with plus-plus consistency, though there isn’t drastic loft in his bat path. The strength and athleticism in his lower body has leveled up since he signed, and he can move the barrel around the zone to make crude, imprecise (but hard) contact to all fields. It’s a slug-over-hit profile to the eye, but it’s more balanced when you look at Melton’s statistical performance. He adds an additional layer of offensive value with his ability to swipe bags at an efficient rate. The problem here is that Melton has really struggled against lefties and is hitting about .185 against them as a pro. It’s difficult to give him an everyday player’s FV grade when this is true.

It becomes more plausible if you think Melton can do enough on defense to impact the game even on days when he faces a southpaw. He’s an above-average runner who covers an average amount of ground in center field, with his ball skills and relative lack of athleticism at the catchpoint causing a slight downtick in his defense grade. He’s not an ideal center field fit, but he can play there if you need him to, and we think he’d be a plus left fielder if he was deployed there all the time. That’s enough to push Melton into the 50 FV tier and onto the Top 100 list. We expect production similar to what Kerry Carpenter has done except with better defense, an above-average rate of production but not an omni-situational player due to his issues versus lefties.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/houston-ast ... ects-2024/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2024 12:11 pm
by Padres
Slowly but surely, Denzel Clarke is once again living up to his billing as one of the A's top prospects.

It was a nightmarish start to the 2024 season for Clarke (Oakland’s No. 3 prospect, according to MLB Pipeline). The 24-year-old outfielder was hitting .191 with three home runs in 38 games through May at Double-A Midland, and he was striking out in 45.4 percent of his at-bats. Now, his batting average is up to .257, and he has hit 11 homers.

“He’s on track to have his best professional season,” A’s assistant general manager and director of player personnel Billy Owens said of Clarke. “Impressive, considering his start. His performance has gradually accelerated.”

With each passing month, Clarke has improved his numbers at the plate while cutting down on the strikeouts. Here’s a month-by-month breakdown:

April: .169/.247/.247 slash line, 38 strikeouts in 19 games
May: .219/.292/.391 slash line, 26 strikeouts in 19 games
June: .291/.309/.595 slash line, 21 strikeouts in 22 games
July: .359/.423/.641 slash line, 16 strikeouts in 17 games

Clarke is playing like the exciting five-tool prospect he’s been touted as in the past, having collected 31 extra-base hits with 17 stolen bases in 77 games this season while playing strong defense in center and right field. A large part of that resurgence stems just from feeling healthy again.

A nagging left shoulder injury that cut Clarke’s 2023 season short lingered into '24, limiting his offseason preparation. He did not appear in any game action until the final few days of Minor League Spring Training, and he was still trying to shake off some rust after being assigned to Double-A Midland.

“He was in a tough spot the first month of the season,” A’s Minor League hitting coordinator Jim Eppard said on A’s Cast. “Now he’s starting to dig out. He’s getting better pitches to hit and he’s starting to come around. Through these trials and failures, he’s emerging as a stronger, more confident player. He’s a tremendous talent.”

Clarke, the A's fourth-round pick out of Cal State Northridge in 2021, was part of an Oakland Draft class that included Zack Gelof, Mason Miller, Brett Harris and Max Muncy (No. 7 prospect). Clarke -- a physical specimen who is listed at 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds -- is arguably the most talented of the bunch due to his array of tantalizing tools, with his mix of speed and power giving him a ceiling of star potential.

A promotion to Triple-A Las Vegas is likely on the horizon for Clarke, which would put him one step closer to the Majors.

“Denzel has unique strength with track speed,” said Owens, who likened Clarke’s physical build to White Sox star center fielder Luis Robert Jr.. “He has all-fields power, is a threat to steal bases and plays world class defense. The quality of his at-bats sharpens with experience. It’s fun to imagine Denzel achieving his enormous ceiling. Now, it’s about finishing 2024 with momentum and developing his electric tools into skills.”

https://www.mlb.com/news/denzel-clarke- ... e-coverage

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2024 6:08 pm
by Padres
While the White Sox are lacking in wins, regard from the rest of the league and fan optimism for a brighter future, they are unquestionably deep in mustachioed Utahn pitchers, even after the departure of Tanner Banks.

Nothing reflects this peculiar brand of depth more than essentially swapping out an injured Drew Thorpe in the rotation with Ky Bush, who will make his major league debut Monday night. He’s wearing No. 57 and will nose out the return of reliever Dominic Leone from the 60-day IL for top billing of the day’s roster moves. Sammy Peralta and Prelander Berroa were optioned to make room.

For Bush, it’s the culmination of a lifelong dream and all that, but also a striking reversal of fortune. His 2023 season was born under the bad sign of groin and lat strains, and he never fully regained his stuff and mechanical comfort before season’s end. By the end of it, he had been traded from the organization that drafted him, posted a combined ERA north of 6.00 at the Angels’ and White Sox’s Double-A affiliates, and become an afterthought on public prospect lists.

The 6-foot-6-inch left-hander went into the offseason with a mission to shorten his arm action (for repeatability) and ride on his back leg longer in his delivery (to restore his velocity to the mid-90s). Bush said he was motivated to re-establish himself, but even preparing with an edge it’s probably rare for a stalled pitching prospect to head into the winter with “throw harder” and “throw more strikes” on their list of needed improvements, and to pull off both well enough to debut in August.

“It just looks like a guy that’s not spraying the ball and has a little more connection between his arm and his torso and just pounding the zone,” Brian Bannister said of Bush. “He can spin the ball, throw multiple shapes, just another lefty with velo, which you love to see.”

For that, for returning his swinging strike rates to the levels of his breakout 2022 season, and for racking up a 2.12 ERA in 80⅔ innings with just 51 hits allowed in Double-A this year, the 24-year-old Bush’s season should be commended as a powerful step forward already. As Bannister alluded to, Bush is back to sitting 93-94 mph (though he was down to 92.5 mph in his most recent Triple-A outing) and the left-hander offers both a slider and curve, even if he clearly prefers the former. To channel Bannister again, a left-hander with Bush’s size, slider and the velocity he’s displayed for stretches almost certainly has some sort of major league utility. It’s a question of where and when, and that will start shaking out tonight in Oakland. It’s something to watch for the long-term outside of the final score, which has grown predictable.

Due to a 6.16 ERA in four outings at Triple-A Charlotte and being subject of a clearly needs-based promotion, Bush’s readiness to succeed at the major league level will be the open question as he toes the rubber for the final White Sox series in the Oakland Coliseum, for a team where precious few look ready to succeed at the major league level.

For context, Bush first arrived in Charlotte serving as the second half of a piggyback for two Mike Clevinger rehab starts, which remain the only two relief appearances of his professional career. Since returning to starting, he’s had one good one (five innings of one-run ball) and one that would have been good if not for that dang three-run homer allowed with two outs in the sixth (5.2 IP, 5 ER). After running a .225 BABIP while generating a lot of outs in the air of spacious Regions Field amid good but not great strikeout numbers, Bush’s three home runs allowed in Triple-A have all come in his new home of the Truist Field bandbox. If not for the presence of Brent Rooker and the like, Oakland Coliseum would register as more comfortable environs for Bush’s 2024 stylings.

Back at the end of May, owing to his fallen prospect status, I made the mistake of referring to Bush as the sixth member of Birmingham’s stalwart rotation. Pitching coach John Ely did not hesitate to correct me.

“He’s a 10-year major leaguer,” Ely said. “He’s as good or better than anybody else. Him, Thorpe and [Mason] Adams, every time they go out, we know what we’re going to get.”

Ely’s condition for declaring Bush a 10-year big leaguer was completion of the development of his cutter, which his arsenal looks like it could use when we’re seeing a version of the lefty who only occasionally sprinkles in a changeup, or is sitting in the low-90s with his four-seamer. Throughout the season, the cutter blended with his slider at times, and has seemingly yet to take over as his primary method of command the inner half above the belt to right-handers.

If Bush is commanding 94-96 mph at the top of the zone, the need for a cutter diminishes and he’s garnered praises for his ability to tunnel all of his tumbling secondaries effectively off the eyeline of the high heater. It would be overzealous to say his fastball has been showing as a truly plus pitch at times, but as Jim alluded to during the podcast, his shorter arm action lends a funky deception element to Bush’s release. And any degree to which Bush can inspire overeagerness from hitters trying to cover the top of the zone will only help his efforts to finish off at-bats at the knees.

To round things out with a lukewarm take, the level to which Bush’s slider plays against right-handed major leaguers will be the barometer for how Monday night and the next two months go for him. He’s had borderline bizarre reverse splits for most of his pro career (.499 OPS allowed to righties, .759 to lefties this season), because the backfoot slider has been a putaway offering that opposite handed hitters have swung over. Again, it’s easy to imagine how a cutter might enhance that dynamic, but Bush being able to drop in his high-70s curve for strikes would also limit how many looks at his slider hitters have before seeing one hum in on a two-strike count.

“He’s got four pitches that hitters have to honor,” Knights pitching coach R.C. Lichenstein told Jim. “When you do that, like if you’re in good counts, and you’re ahead in the count, it’s hard to cover any individual pitch, and you can’t hunt it because he’s throwing them all for strikes.”

Bush is more adept with inducing weak contact from right-handers than his arsenal might suggest, but the recent results suggest a work in progress. He is capable of having a nice night if his command is on and his velocity is strong, and might look a weapon short of being able to wriggle out of tough spots if neither are on point. Given where he started the season, getting hit hard in the majors would still represent a big meaningful leap and would still set up Bush to be an improved cutter or changeup away from staking a more competitive claim upon a rotation slot in 2025.

But it would be nice for White Sox fans to have a player work out better than expected this season, without the epilogue of and then they didn’t get quite as much for him as I hoped they would at the deadline.

https://soxmachine.com/2024/08/what-to- ... g-ky-bush/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2024 10:07 pm
by Padres
Rockies 3B Kyle Karros hasn’t ranked on the High-A list yet, but he has performed quite well recently. Since June 14, Karros has put up a 180 wRC+ with nine home runs and seven stolen bases. The 2023 fifth-round pick has played a solid third base all season and has a solidly average contact rate, chase rate, and barrel rate, though he is far more effective against fastballs than against secondaries. Note that High-A Spokane boosts homers for righthanded batters by nearly 47%. RoboScout accounts for this already, but make sure you are doing the internal math when looking at the back of his baseball card.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... ug-4-2024/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Aug 07, 2024 9:30 am
by Padres
(8) Denzel Clarke, OF, Athletics

I really didn’t expect to write about Clarke this much or this consistently at this point in the year, but he just keeps hitting. An abysmal April continues to drag down his season-long line but he’s had an .890 OPS since May 1st and has been progressively better as the year has gone on. He’s up to 19 steals on the season, too, and seven of those have come in his last 13 games. It’s been a slow-ish burn, but the heat is there.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fant ... 4-week-19/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Aug 07, 2024 10:33 am
by Padres
Jonathan Cannon pitched six innings of one-run ball as the White Sox topped the A’s 5-1 on Tuesday to snap their 21-game losing streak.

Good for Cannon, who earned his second win in 12 big-league starts. He’d almost certainly have more on another team, but for one day, we’ll celebrate this. Cannon is 2-5 with one save and a 3.91 ERA through 14 appearances. He’ll likely get the Yankees next.

https://www.nbcsports.com/mlb/jonathan- ... fdeb4f0344

Tuesday night, on the western edge of the continent, Jonathan Cannon steps into the unenviable position of trying to stop the White Sox from setting a new record for the longest losing streak in the 124-year history of the American League.

Despite the fact that he’ll be backed by somewhere between zero to three runs of support of offense, and he touts a contact-heavy approach while backed by a defense that may just spurn three consecutive chances to throw out a runner on the basepaths, it’s not an outlandish belief that he’s the current White Sox starter best-suited to end a 21-game losing streak.

Erick Fedde is gone, greatly limiting his contributions. Garrett Crochet is rate-limited. Davis Martin has made two major league appearances in the last 18 months or so, and Ky Bush has made one fewer. Chris Flexen is a good teammate who has given his club a chance to win quite often this year, but the White Sox have lost the last 15 games in which he’s pitched, and attempting to kill two birds with one stone is a tad rich given this team’s noted struggles to simply hit the cutoff man. So, Cannon it is.

“He’s a sneaky big physical pitcher when you stand next to him,” Brian Bannister said of Cannon. “There’s a lot of mass there. He’s got a great pitcher’s body and as he continues to figure out this style of pitching the way that Erick Fedde has, I think he’s going to be a workhorse in the league for a long time.”

Bannister has been open about his long-term optimism for Cannon since working with him on pitch grips both at spring training and in Triple-A earlier in the season, and the 24-year-old has a 3.36 ERA in 56⅓ major league innings since being recalled in June. Cannon has credited that to a sweeper he began developing with Bannister in the spring and improved movement on his changeup and sinker; particularly no longer having to consciously take velocity off of the latter to get the run and sink he wants. That old-school approach to sinking the ball has been swapped out for something far more new-fangled

That’s a solid ERA in its own right over a reasonable sample, especially considering Cannon’s only struck out 33 batters in that span while pitching in front of probably the worst defense in the league. Also, his one-inning disaster outing in Detroit on June 23 informs that his updated arsenal is fully capable of going completely haywire on him and producing meatballs.

“It’s definitely very touchy and can easily get out of sync,” Cannon said. “In Detroit and even at the beginning of the year, the seams get out of whack and now everything becomes hittable. It’s just constant adjustments to make sure everything is moving correctly. If my sinker isn’t catching, it kind of just floats and it becomes a lot easier to hit, and that’s when you see a lot of fly balls and line drives, rather than ground balls.”

Cannon will refer to his pitches “catching” now all the time, and it often serves as the primary barometer to whether he executed it successfully or not. In this case he means the seams catching the desired air flows around his pitch mid-flight, and producing the late movement he’s seeking.

It’s the language that has spread through the game as research on the phenomenon of seam-shifted wake grows. Pitchers are not throwing perfectly round spheres, but objects stitched together with raised seams that can produce unique movement effects as it travels through the air. More intentionally than ever, Cannon is focused on orienting the seams on the ball to produce an airflow that lends an apparent late movement to his pitches, which he believes is sharper than what he was producing before.

“The arsenal he’s trying to throw is complicated,” Bannister said. “It’s not intuitive for everybody; prioritizing the seams on the baseball above velocity or other mechanical cues. At all times for a young pitcher, making sure that you’re getting that late movement, the Greg Maddux, Kyle Hendricks type of movement where even if you don’t have a lot of velo that day, you’re able to get ground balls or weak contact, or have a lot of efficient innings that allow you to go six, seven-plus innings in a game.”

While his aptitude for understanding how his pitches work certainly aided Cannon’s buy-in process, the right-hander claims the mechanics needed from him on the mound are not nearly as complicated as the physics explanation needed to explain the motion on his pitches. It’s just that his experience with pitching this way, what he needs to do with the seams each time is fairly new, and is still rounding into the consistency Cannon would figure to have after one, two or five seasons worth of throwing these pitches in this manner.

“I wouldn’t say it’s intricate, it’s more just a lot of feel,” Cannon said. “I think that feel comes with doing it a lot. This is really the first year that I’ve ever done it. I’ve done it like, accidentally in the past. I wasn’t exactly sure how I was doing it, it was just kind of moving that way. I think the feel is definitely is starting to develop, just from starting in spring training to where I’m at now. Even with the sweeper, it got a little touchy because it’s kind of the same thing. Not counting the start [on July 25] but the previous three starts, the sweeper wasn’t moving as much as I would have liked. But in Texas it was a lot better. It’s just constantly those tiny little adjustments.”

The month of July, while quite infamously horrendous for a White Sox team that managed to win precisely zero of the five games Cannon pitched in, saw him complete six innings or more every time out. The strikeout-to-walk ratio during that time (14-to-11) would typically undercut the thrill of a rookie posting a 3.48 ERA over 31 innings, but the bulk of the production is a feature of his present style of quick and efficient out-getting, where he can repeatedly cover two-thirds of a game despite never being extended past 95 pitches.

At this point, seeing less of the White Sox bullpen is a triumph of its own. But the Sox would admit that they’re building a style of pitcher who would be better appreciated on a better team.

“Even if you’re giving up 3-4 runs, coming out of the game seven innings later has a lot of value for your team, especially a team that is league average or better in run production,” Bannister said. “With an eye on the future, him getting a lot of these innings under his belt, understanding the adjustment he’s got to make when he loses the orientation of the seams on the baseball, and he’s not getting his best late movement, or one of his pitch shapes is off a little bit. He’s on an accelerated path and it was a quick jump to the big leagues, particularly because he didn’t pitch in this style last year and he’s made a lot of changes this year. So he’s still able to do that, still able to go out and compete.”

Writing up a player before they suit up for a White Sox game is a dodgy bet, as the forces of entropy that have governed this season and this franchise for the last few years are always lurking around the corner. Still, in a season that will scar most involved for years to come, Cannon seems to be able to track his upward trajectory.

“I’d never heard why my stuff is doing what it was doing,” Cannon said of life before Bannister. “In the past it was like, ‘OK, that’s good. Keep doing that.’ And so if I ever lose it, I’d have trouble going back and finding it again. It would take me a little while. So now it’s easier to make those little adjustments when I know exactly what I’m looking for.”

https://soxmachine.com/2024/08/jonathan ... -pitching/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Thu Aug 08, 2024 10:28 am
by Padres
Jonathan Cannon, Chicago White Sox (37% rostered)

I wrote about Cannon back in June and again over the All-Star break, and yet he’s somehow rostered in fewer leagues today than he was two months ago.

Yes, the fact that the White Sox have only won a handful of games since that mid-June piece is inescapable, but it’s not as though Cannon is at fault; on the contrary, he was the winning pitcher in Tuesday night’s victory that snapped the highly publicized 21-game losing streak. Over his past seven starts, the 24-year-old has a 3.38 ERA and 1.17 WHIP despite the solitary win.

Anyone starting Cannon isn’t doing it for the wins or even the strikeouts—he’s struck out just 51 batters in 76 innings this season—but he’s consistently delivering quality starts with good ratios, regardless of the win-loss column. I prefer to target good pitchers and hope the wins follow, making Cannon a guy I’m OK rostering even on the historically bad White Sox.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fant ... 4-week-19/

Blue Jays: Fernando Perez, RHP

Selected as Toronto’s representative at this summer’s All-Star Futures Game, the 20-year-old right-hander has taken a nice step forward with his first full-season club at Single-A Dunedin, posting a 3.67 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 85 strikeouts in 81 innings. He works with a 91-94 mph fastball and shows a slider, curveball and changeup – giving him a full arsenal that should help as he expands his workload further.

White Sox: Brooks Baldwin, SS/2B

Almost immediately after Chicago made him a 12th-round pick out of UNC Wilmington in 2022, he became an organization favorite because of his high floor, versatility and nonstop energy. A switch-hitter who consistently puts together quality at-bats, he batted. 324/.391/.460 with eight homers and 17 steals in 82 games between Double-A and Triple-A to earn his first big league callup. The struggling White Sox may have found their second baseman of the future -- and present -- in Baldwin.

Rockies: Kyle Karros, 3B

Eric’s kid was the Rockies’ fifth-rounder in 2023 after three years as a starter for UCLA. He’s raked all year with High-A Spokane, posting a .325/.398/.505 line with 13 homers. There could be more power to come and he’s worked to become an excellent defender at the hot corner.

https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-top-prospe ... e-coverage

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2024 10:57 am
by Padres
Davis Martin allowed one run with five strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Wednesday.

Martin served up a solo homer to Juan Soto in the first inning. He settled in nicely, pitching into the sixth inning while limiting the Yankees to just the one run and striking out five. The 27-year-old right-hander will take a 3.00 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and a 17/10 K/BB ratio across 18 innings into a start against the Giants in New York on Tuesday.

https://www.nbcsports.com/mlb/davis-martin/48762

Pitching coaches Brian Bannister and Ethan Katz happened to be watching video of Giants rookie Hayden Birdsong’s changeup a little over a week ago.

This would have been more normal activity when they both worked for the Giants, but it quickly applied to their current employer when they had one of those wacky moments from a buddy comedy where two characters look at each other and exclaim the same thing. It’s just that they were both thinking of a seam-shifted changeup rather than a late night voyage to White Castle.

“I said ‘I’m thinking of one guy that could use this,'” Katz recalled. “And he said ‘I’m thinking of one guy as well.’ It was an a-ha moment. We both said Davis Martin.”

Katz makes a lot of references to Martin’s personality enabling the rapid installation of this new pitch, calling him a “free spirit” who “will do anything.” As someone who has interviewed Martin a lot over the past few years, the description registers.

But since I can’t transport you to the clubhouse to discover the 27-year-old right-hander’s bedside manner, let’s try to illustrate this point with just a GIF of Martin walking off the field after his third hitless inning of work in Oakland.

Even after over 18 months away from major league action, this is the general vibe of Davis Martin.

Martin tried out the new changeup grip once last Tuesday in Oakland, and immediately saw sharper movement than a more inconsistent variation he had been using. Katz instructed him to throw five more off a mound, but not more than that, since his start was literally the next day. While throwing six scoreless innings the following afternoon, Martin threw his new changeup 18 times, getting a called strike or a whiff on a third of the offerings (a good rate).

If this winds up being the best changeup Martin has had in his career, it might have been spurred by his rehab from Tommy John surgery.

As he was rehabbing and throwing bullpens in Arizona this summer, Martin and the White Sox noticed that the spin efficiency on his four-seamer was reduced from what he reliably produced pre-surgery. Once regularly clocking over 90 percent, and generating 17-18 inches of inverted vertical break, Martin had plateaued in low-80s for spin efficiency.

He tried a number of exercises to return the old life to the pitch, including throwing Clean Fuego balls; a hockey puck-shaped thing that wobbles helplessly if it isn’t backspun perfectly. But a complete return to the delivery and release that produced his old four-seam action could not be purchased with sweat equity.

“A lot of guys have issues getting back to that full extension,” said Martin, still talking about how his arm healed after TJ and not a condition advertised about on sports radio. “So it could change down the road, but as for right now that’s where I’m at and it kind of cued up the cutter. I was also cutting a lot of my four-seams already, so why don’t we just pre-grip and see what happens.”

What happened was a high-80s cutter that has quickly become Martin’s preferred way to work up and in to left-handed hitters. Even though he can run it up as high as 97 mph, the margin of error for throwing the perfect four-seamer to that quadrant went down as Martin lost some carry to it. So as someone who already supinates his wrist to the point that his slider is already his best pitch, Martin took to throwing a cutter that just bores in on the lands of lefties without needing to be perfectly commanded.

“We were already jabbing with the fastball,” Martin said, using a Katz term to emphasize the fastball as a setup pitch for more capable secondaries. “Now we really want to jab with the fastball. If we go up, making sure we only do the top rail, being a little bit more picky and choosy about where we want to throw that fastball. Really being fine up at the top, on the black and set up all of our other stuff.”

It’s a kitchen-sink profile/approach for a former 14th-round pick who has always impressed teammates for never being afraid, nor afraid of failure at the major league level. But between his cutter, slider and curve, Martin has all this ability to spin the baseball to his glove side, and a surgically repaired right arm that seems more inclined to supinating in his delivery than ever before.

Finding a changeup to round out his new arsenal had to take this into account. That’s where the video of Birdsong, the Giants rookie right-hander who distinguishes himself by also commanding multiple breaking balls, comes into play. A changeup that Martin had to actively pronate — the opposite of what he does to rip a nasty breaking ball — and finish to get the desired action wouldn’t fit the bill.

“It is like a seam-shift [changeup],” Katz said. “It’s very similar [orientation] to his cutter so it’s easy for him to throw. By just getting it to where he doesn’t have to manipulate the ball, he can just throw it, it’s been very easy for him.”

In terms of major league track record for all this working for Martin, we’re up to one good outing against a not-good offense. And while he’s been cleared for use as a starter, his first season after TJ means there are some basic considerations for not over-extending him for which to adhere, and the expectation of some more command speed bumps along the way.

“There’s things that I’ve been frustrated with,” Martin said. “But at the same time you look at all TJ rehab, you look at guys across the board, some guys have setbacks and things that prolong their rehab. I think I’ve been blessed to be able to not have a lot of setbacks. It’s been a smooth transition from step, to step, to step, to step. It was a long time, but the transition from every step has been smooth.”

For an underdog prospect story looking to establish himself as a major league starter, it seems like Martin missed a lot of a golden window to put down roots in an otherwise wide open White Sox rotation. But upon return, he’s immediately reminded the coaching staff why they were so fond of working with him in the first place.

“His personality fit the bill [for the changeup],” Katz said. “If he was new, if it was someone like Ky Bush or something like that, I wouldn’t have pushed it. I knew Davis well enough, I knew his personality that if it did work, it was going to be a home run. And if it didn’t, it’s no harm, no foul and we just move on to the next thing and go from there.”

https://soxmachine.com/2024/08/how-davi ... ast-start/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Aug 21, 2024 8:17 pm
by Padres
The White Sox are an impossible 3-24 [Update: 4-24] in games where Brooks Baldwin plays.

That’s obviously not his fault, but it undercuts the central note of praise of being “a winning player” that followed Baldwin throughout his meteoric rise through the minors. Such is the White Sox season that his most notable moment of on-field awareness is when he rationally deduced that no sane third base coach would have sent Cody Bellinger home when he already had the ball in his hands, and was caught trying to throw out the trailer at second without ever checking if the decisive run was jogging home.

Luckily, Baldwin is coming along in the more traditionally accepted manner for a prospect to earn their keep: He’s quietly starting to climb out of an early hole offensively.

Baldwin is hitting .245/.298/.396 in 16 games in August, while mixing between two up-the-middle spots on the infield. This premise was on more solid ground before an 0-for-3 Tuesday night, but in the hellworld that is 2024 offense in Major League Basball, this is a stretch of near-league-average production. In the area below hell that this year’s White Sox offense resides in, Baldwin basically has looked like prime Ray Durham.

After a sub-.500 OPS during July, when he joined the team after the All-Star break and the White Sox proceeded to lose every game until they were almost a week into August, it might even resemble a young player acclimating to a new level of play. Even the best versions of Baldwin didn’t walk a ton in the minors, and true to form, his upturn has involved feeling decisive enough to do a lot more swinging across the board.

“He plays the game at 100 mph,” said Colson Montgomery, an outspoken Baldwin enthusiast. “That’s what you want in a guy; he’s not afraid to make mistakes.”

Asked for a one-paragraph summary of the offensive breakout that jumped off about halfway through last season in A-ball, Baldwin offered that fewer moving parts in his swing allows him to see the ball better. After all, a 15-point month-to-month uptick in swing rate on pitches in the strike zone is its own form of plate discipline.

“To me it’s always been a big thing: If you can cut down on movement, your eyes don’t move as much,” Baldwin said. “You’re able to see things a little slower, and you’re able to pick up spin on pitches and see everything better.”

Having his sophomore season at UNC-Wilmington cut short by COVID meant that Baldwin received an extra year of eligibility, so he had more leverage than the normal third-day pick when the Giants took him in the 15th round of the 2021 draft. He returned to school and won Colonial Athletic Association Player of the Year honors, yet the 24-year-old says that in the time since the Sox took in the 12th round of the 2022 draft and now, “everything is almost completely different lower half-wise” in his swing.

The collection of side-angle video of CAA action from two years ago is not robust, but if you scroll around long enough you start to see his point.

“I was really spread out and not a whole lot of lower half movement,” Baldwin recalled of his college swing. “Now it’s kind of more upright and a little more power-oriented where I can drive the baseball more frequently.”

If you want to dive deeper into searching for college video of Baldwin, and find yourself in the depths of YouTube where it’s clearly someone recording their television set with their breathing audible throughout, there are portions of his UNC-Wilmington days where he was just letting the bat sit on his shoulder until the pitcher’s first movement, and his hand load began anew from there. From there to now, it’s easy to see why he feels there’s a lot less going on to get his hands ready to launch, and more mental energy can be devoted to just responding to what he’s seeing.

Now he’s making a smaller drawdown movement of his hands, and timed it up with a small leg lift to load himself into his back hip, rather rocking his hips back out of a super-wide base. It’s a more drastic version of the adjustment a fitter Edgar Quero has made while posting career-best offensive numbers in the upper minors.

“It’s been a lot easier for me to get loaded and get into my back side easier, and not have to move so far forward so I can impact the ball better” Baldwin said. “The start, the rhythm, your load, everything, if you’re able to keep everything underneath and you’re able to move forward without losing everything in your legs, then you’re able to see pitches better.”

This is more of a story of how Baldwin became good as a pro, rather than what he figured out after the first couple of weeks, which seems to be a combination of adjusting to an influx of elevated velocity and straightening out his direction. He can really spin around on his back foot to drive pitches on the inner half, but was overdoing it in the early going and closing himself off to the outer half of the plate.

With where he tries to set his target, this was a temporary affliction.

“I’m trying to hit the ball through the center field wall, right back at the pitcher through his forehead is my terminology,” Baldwin said.

Imagine these sorts of fantasies about impaling people and things being delivered by a fresh-faced young man completely devoid of facial hair, with a friendly North Carolina drawl, and you’ve got the general experience of being a beat writer covering an MLB team.

But hitting from both sides of the plate and with reps at every defensive position besides catcher in his professional history, Baldwin has an oil-slick smooth path to major league viability as long as his bat can show a pulse. Hell, Zach Remillard has a .322 career slugging percentage and pretty much no one on the White Sox beat has ruled out seeing him again in Chicago at some point.

But what potentially separates Baldwin from an organization seemingly lousy with utility types is that despite being able to pass for being 15, it would be a pretty tall 15-year-old with exceptionally long arms and legs. If a change in stance and load aimed at driving the baseball pays more dividends, there’s no rule that one of the high draft picks the White Sox spent on toolsy infielders has to be who ends up staking claim to their many currently open positions on the dirt.

“I don’t really think of myself as a power hitter, but I’ve always had long levers and been able to drive pitches in the gap pretty well,” said Baldwin, reiterating a line-drive focus. “If you if happen to clip one and get it up in the air and it goes out of the park, well, good things happen.”

https://soxmachine.com/2024/08/brooks-b ... -overhaul/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Thu Aug 22, 2024 10:15 am
by Padres
Nolan McLean, RHP, Mets

Age: 23
Stuff+: 114

A two-way star at Oklahoma State, McLean was drafted in 2022 by the Orioles but didn’t sign and returned to campus. The Mets drafted him in the third round the following year and he has been very good in his professional debut. Over 21 starts, most of which came in Double-A, McLean owns a 3.89 ERA with a 25% strikeout rate to a 8.3% walk rate. After moonlighting as a two-way player earlier in 2024, the Mets made the announcement in mid-July that McLean would exclusively pitch going forward. It’s a wise choice, as McLean has excellent stuff.

His four-seam fastball grades out at 107 Stuff+ sitting 94-96 mph with average vertical break and nearly a foot of armside run from a 64-inch release height, creating good plane. McLean’s slider is the highest-graded pitch in his arsenal. It’s an excellent bat-misser sitting 85-86 mph with on average 14 inches of horizontal break. McLean has one of the best combinations of power and movement you’ll see on a sweeper. He also mixes in a changeup and cutter, but uses them much less frequently than his fastball-slider combination. Could McLean be another potential future rotation piece lurking in the Mets’ farm?

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... e-in-2024/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Mon Sep 02, 2024 8:03 am
by Padres
Ryan Clifford (NYM) had one of his best nights of the year on Saturday by going 4-for-5 with a double.

I last wrote about him two weeks ago and cited his tremendous struggles to open the year at High-A (.216/.412/.304 with a 31.6% K-rate over 31 games) as well as the heater he’s been on at Double-A. Since then I’ve read a little bit about visibility concerns in Brooklyn, particularly for left-handed hitters, and the three-year minor league park factors at Baseball America support the anecdotal evidence. Brooklyn plays as a roughly average ballpark for righties but as the worst park at the level for lefties across a number of key offensive markers (wOBA, OBP, home runs). Surface stats across minor league baseball are ripe with nuance that has to be accounted for in player eval, and I think I’m giving Clifford a pass for the early skid. Even with the dreadful line he registered a 124 wRC+, after all.

https://www.thedynastydugout.com/p/beck ... dium=email

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Sun Sep 08, 2024 6:06 pm
by Padres
What has been the worst pitch you’ve thrown all year, and why was it so bad? I’ve asked that question to a handful of pitchers this season, the most recent being Chicago White Sox right-hander Jonathan Cannon.

“Last week, I had an at-bat against J.D. Martinez with a man on and two outs,” Cannon told me on Friday. “I threw him a really good changeup that he looked really bad on, and in my head I knew that I should probably go back to it. Instead I went with a fastball and kind of spray-missed it. The changeup was still wide open, but then I tried to land a sweeper and it was the wrong pitch call. It kind of backed up middle and he hit it out. It was one of those where it was like, ‘I knew I shouldn’t have thrown it, but I threw it anyway.’ I got punished for it.

“I think I should have just doubled up on the changeup,” continued Cannon, who has a 4.53 ERA over 101-and-a-third innings in his rookie season. “He kind of hunts that middle-in fastball, or any breaking pitch that kind of backs up, and I’d already thrown him a couple of good sweepers that he took below the zone. That really isn’t like him, which tells me that he was looking for it. I probably could have thrown a changeup anywhere in the bottom half of the zone and he would have swung and missed at it. The fastball wasn’t the right pitch, and the sweeper definitely wasn’t the right pitch. And then you hang it. It was like, ‘Man, I should not have done that.’”

... William Bergolla is 24-for-76 with High-A Winston Salem since being acquired by the Chicago White Sox from the Philadelphia Phillies in exchange for Tanner Banks at this summer’s trade deadline. The 19-year-old middle infielder is slashing .300/.359/.381 with two home runs in 357 plate appearances, all in the South-Atlantic League, on the season.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/sunday-note ... draft-gem/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Tue Sep 10, 2024 10:40 am
by Padres
Denzel Clarke, OF, Athletics

Team: Double-A Midland (Texas)
Age: 24

Why He’s Here: .476/.476/.667 (10-for-21), 6 R, 1 2B, 0 3B, 1 HR, 2 RBIs, 0 BB, 5 SO, 3-for-5 SB

The Scoop: After an injury plagued campaign in 2023, Clarke has experienced health in 2024 and been productive. Entering the week, he is hitting .273/.340/.457 over 110 games. Clarke has elite tools, with plus raw power and speed and the ability to handle any spot in the outfield. His swing decisions are fairly good, but his bat-to-ball skills are poor. An excellent athlete, when it’s clicking for Clarke, he can be the most exciting player on the field. Last week Clarke was clicking, as he strung together four multi-hit efforts while showcasing power and speed. He is Rule 5 eligible this offseason and has likely done enough to warrant protection.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... t-9-10-24/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Sat Sep 14, 2024 10:36 am
by Padres
I first learned of the kick change while in Chicago for Saberseminar in late August. Chatting with Garrett Crochet and Jonathan Cannon in the White Sox clubhouse prior to a Saturday game, I heard the term from Cannon, who was describing a new pitch that one of their rotation mates, Davis Martin, had recently begun throwing. Needless to say, I was intrigued.

The following day, I learned even more about the atypical offering. Brian Bannister presented at Saberseminar that Sunday, and the kick change was one of the subjects he brought up. Moreover, the White Sox Senior Advisor to Pitching subsequently spoke about it in more detail while taking questions from the audience, this particular one coming, not surprisingly, from my colleague Michael Rosen.

As luck would have it, two opportunities to hear even more about the kick change were right around the corner. The White Sox visited Fenway Park this past weekend, and with Boston being my home base, I was able to sit down with Martin to get his perspective on the pitch, as well as the story of why and how he learned it. Then the Orioles arrived in town, so I talked to reliever Matt Bowman, who not only has something similar in his arsenal, but he also is Bannister-esque when it comes to the art and science of pitching. I spoke to the veteran right-hander about the kick change and its close-cousin relationship with the better-known split change.

Here are my conversations, lightly edited for clarity, with Martin and Bowman.

———

David Laurila: What is the kick change?

Davis Martin: “It’s basically for supinators. I’ve never been a pronator. It’s for guys that have really good spin talent and have always had the ability to get to that supination plane. But pronating is very unnatural for us from a physiological standpoint.

“I’ve just never been able to pronate, and post-TJ it got even worse. I’m more of a supinator now than I was before surgery [in May 2023]. So, the kick change… basically, you kick the axis of the ball into that three o’clock axis. You kind of get that saucer-type spin to get the depth that a guy who could pronate a changeup would get to. You’re not using a seam-shift method. You’re not truly pronating. It’s kind of this cheat to get to that three o’clock axis.”

Laurila: You’re spiking a seam with your middle finger, correct?

Martin: “Yes, but the spike isn’t this huge thing. Basically, I grab the two seam and trace the seam up to where I feel comfortable. A lot of times it’s just a nice little arc, so I can feel the fingertip on the seam. Then I throw the crap out of it. I joke with [pitching coach Ethan] Katz, ‘I don’t want to look at it. I don’t want to see it on Edgertronic. It does what I want it to do. I throw it hard and don’t want to think about it any more than that.’”

Laurila: Which finger is generating the spin?

Martin: “The middle finger. As I’m releasing the ball, that middle finger extends out, pushing the ball into this axis. If I had a normal [grip] it would be like a 12:45 rather than a three o’clock. The middle finger is the last thing to touch it, which spins it into that axis. The middle is kind of the prime motor with the pitch.”

Laurila: What is the story behind your learning a kick change?

Martin: “We were in Oakland. Banny and Katz were both kind of like, ‘Hey, Davis, come here.’ I was like, ‘What’s up guys?’ They were like, ‘Hey, your changeup is terrible.’ I was like, ‘OK. Is there any more to that story you’d like to tell me?’

“Banny had worked with a guy [Hayden Birdsong] with similar mechanics as me. He had a little bit of stab in the back, good spin talent, but could never find the feel for a changeup. So he introduced the kick change to me. I played catch with it that day and actually got the ASR — the arm-side movement — almost like a lefty slider at 90 mph. We weren’t expecting that. The next day [August 7] I had a start in Oakland and they were like, ‘Hey, this lineup is really good for changeups, so if you can throw it, let’s do it.’ I threw one the second pitch of the game and just rolled with it. I think I threw 18 of them that day, and it’s only gotten better as I’ve had more feel for it.”

Laurila: What are the metrics on it?

Martin: “Last time I checked, on average it was right around +1/-1 vert, and anywhere from 10 to 20. I think the best one I’ve ever gotten was 20 horizontal [arm side]. The best one I’ve ever thrown was probably -1, 20, at 90 mph.

“I’ve only been throwing this for probably less than a month. Sometimes it’s more of a splitter where it’s zero and 8, and sometimes it has this big movement. Now it’s a matter of trying to figure out, ‘OK, what’s making this happen? Why is this happening?’ Then I can become more consistent, which is going only to come with throwing it more in games.”

Laurila: How does it differ from a two-seamer?

Martin: “It has a lot more depth. With sinkers, it’s going to be 5-6-7 vert, and this one is almost zero. Watching Kirby Yates throw against us the other day, it has very similar vert metrics to a true splitter.”

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/davis-marti ... ck-change/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Sep 18, 2024 10:35 am
by Padres
Ryan Clifford, 1B/OF, Mets

Team: Double-A Binghamton (Eastern)
Age: 21

Why He’s Here: .304/.429/.696 (7-for-23), 5 R, 3 2B, 0 3B, 2 HR, 8 RBIs, 5 BB, 7 SO, 0-for-0 SB

The Scoop: Clifford was acquired by the Mets alongside Drew Gilbert in the Justin Verlander trade back in 2023. A ‘three true outcomes’ hitter, Clifford pairs strong on-base skills with plus raw power. As a 20-year-old in 2024, Clifford slugged 18 home runs in Double-A. Last week, he showed off his advanced on-base ability and power, reaching base 12 times while logging five extra base hits. Clifford has an opportunity to hit his way to the major leagues in 2025, as he should likely begin the season with Triple-A Syracuse. (GP)

Nolan McLean
, RHP, Mets

Team: Double-A Binghamton (Eastern)
Age: 23

Why He’s Here: 1-0, 0.00, 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR

The Scoop: Last week, McLean put the finishing touches on a breakout first full professional season, tossing six scoreless innings. He finishes the season with a 3.78 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 116 strikeouts to 42 walks over 109.2 innings. McLean has shown improved command from his collegiate days, and is now fully committed to pitching for the first time in his career. He possesses excellent stuff and has shown the ability to get deeper into starts. McLean is a name to watch in 2025. (GP)

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories ... t-9-17-24/

Re: 2024 Padres Prospect News and Notes

Posted: Wed Sep 18, 2024 2:26 pm
by Padres
Grant Taylor, RHP, Chicago White Sox

Buy: Where you can acquire for less than a top-150 prospect.

There have been a few pitchers this year that caught my eye immediately on film. I was loud about Quinn Mathews and George Klassen early on but missed the post-Tommy John Kumar Rocker train before it left the station. Grant Taylor was on his way to sound-the-alarm status through just 19.1 innings before going down with a lat injury in June that ultimately ended his season.

Serving as the starter is a bit of an experiment for Taylor. He pitched almost exclusively in relief for LSU in 2022 before making four exceptional starts on the Cape that summer, and between a UCL injury that held him out for all of 2023 and his most recent ailment he’s recorded just 11 starts across three full years. The most likely landing spot for him is out of the bullpen – in part because of his injury and usage history, furthered by his excellent raw stuff – but Chicago’s apparent willingness to at least try him in longer spurts lends credence to the idea that there’s a potential rotation future in his range of outcomes.

Taylor’s stuff was simply too overpowering for Complex and Single-A competition in the brief time we got to see him in game action. His arsenal is led by a high-octane heater that sits 96 mph but can be dialed up to 99 when he reaches back for it. It has some bore – riding life combined with arm-side run – and plays extremely well at the top of the zone. His seven feet of extension and low vertical approach angle make it play up even more, and by now folks who read my work regularly know that I’m a sucker for a good heater because it elevates the rest of the repertoire. He complements the fastball with a low-90s cutter, a hard slider in the high-80s that generated a whiff rate over 50%, and a high-70s curveball with vertical bite. Four pitches is enough to turn a lineup over, though I’d prefer to see him develop a convincing platoon neutralizer and there’s a world where he’s a 95-and-a-slider bullpen piece.

There’s plenty of risk in Taylor’s profile. When healthy, though, he was one of a handful of minor league arms that flashed mid-rotation upside or better. The results speak for themselves; 72% of all plate appearances against Taylor ended in a strikeout or ground ball and he walked just two hitters in the meantime (2.8%). He’s a confirmed participant for the Arizona Fall League and is very likely to pitch in one of the two Statcast-enabled stadiums in the circuit, making him a plausible candidate to earn buzz as one of the only inspiring arms in the league.

https://www.thedynastydugout.com/p/pros ... dium=email